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Forecast

Jerdacuttup (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:14am WST 4:43am WST 6:56pm WST 7:24pm WST
    NOW
    15.2° Feels Like: 12.9°
    Relative Humidity: 56%
    Dew: 6.5°
    Wind: SW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Jerdacuttup
    Now
    16.4°c
    Feels Like:
    12.5°
    Wind:
    SW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    42%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Jerdacuttup
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near the coast. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower near the coast. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.

    Forecast for Jerdacuttup (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 13° 12° 11°
    Maximum 19° 30° 28° 22° 21° 23° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 10% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSE NNE W SSE S SW SW SSW S SSW S SE SSE
    Relative humidity 50% 41% 41% 17% 55% 47% 64% 45% 59% 49% 56% 43% 50% 37%
    Dew point 5°C 6°C 6°C 3°C 12°C 14°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jerdacuttup Rain Forecast


    Jerdacuttup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 19 December to 23 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 20 December to 24 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jerdacuttup Rain Forecast


    Jerdacuttup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    9
    7
    9
    7
    7
    1
    5
    5
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jerdacuttup Rain Forecast


    Jerdacuttup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 19 December to 23 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 20 December to 24 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jerdacuttup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 27
    14.5 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    11.0 °C 20.0 °C
    4.8 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    8.0 °C 30.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 30
    11.0 °C 17.5 °C
    1.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 01
    7.0 °C -
    0.1 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jerdacuttup minimum temp history (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.0° 08/11/2020 Coldest this month 6.0° 12/11/2020
    Hottest on record 43.3 17/12/2013 Coldest on record 4.3 03/12/1973
    Hottest this year 44.5° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.8° 04/08/2020
    Long term average 25.1° Long term average 11.1°
    Average this month 25.5° Average this month 11.4°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.7° 1972 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 10.7° 1986
    Jerdacuttup rainfall history (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.8mm 02/11/2020 Total This Month 51.2mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 31.3mm 7.4 days Wettest December on record 140.1mm 1913
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1909
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Jerdacuttup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 406.8mm 104.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 356.8mm 103.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 246.4mm 97.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.4mm Aug 4
    Lowest Temperature 1.8°C Aug 4
    Highest Temperature 44.5°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jerdacuttup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.9 28.3 26.6 23.7 20.0 17.2 16.3 17.3 19.5 22.5 25.1 27.2 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.6 13.6 11.9 9.6 7.9 6.7 6.7 7.4 9.1 11.1 12.8 10.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 25.1 27.3 33.5 32.7 44.0 43.9 46.9 44.8 41.0 36.3 31.3 23.7 430.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.6 5.8 7.6 8.1 10.6 12.1 13.1 12.7 11.3 9.8 7.4 5.9 109.3