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Forecast

Jerdacuttup (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14° 27°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:43am WST 5:11am WST 7:11pm WST 7:39pm WST
    NOW
    23.7° Feels Like: 19.7°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 13.8°
    Wind: SW 26km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Jerdacuttup
    Now
    22.4°c
    Feels Like:
    16.8°
    Wind:
    SW 32km/h
    Gusts:
    46km/h
    Humidity:
    52%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Jerdacuttup
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the west, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 30 to 35 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    12°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the west, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 30 to 35 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Jerdacuttup (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 12° 15° 14° 14° 15° 14°
    Maximum 27° 24° 27° 32° 31° 31° 33°
    Chance of rain 5% 60% 30% 20% 10% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)     		27
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SW WSW SW SW SSW W SSW S S ESE S SSW SSE
    Relative humidity 54% 54% 54% 43% 73% 51% 63% 33% 67% 40% 65% 39% 58% 42%
    Dew point 12°C 15°C 9°C 11°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 18°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jerdacuttup Rain Forecast

    Jerdacuttup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jerdacuttup Rain Forecast

    Jerdacuttup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jerdacuttup Rain Forecast

    Jerdacuttup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jerdacuttup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 17     		17.5 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18     		15.7 °C 20.4 °C
    0.5 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19     		14.8 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20     		12.0 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21     		15 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Jerdacuttup minimum temp history (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.5° 07/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.5° 04/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.4 06/01/2010 Coldest on record 5.9 12/01/1970
    Hottest this year 41.5° 07/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.5° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 28.9° Long term average 14.1°
    Average this month 28.3° Average this month 14.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 1965 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.8° 1970
    Jerdacuttup rainfall history (33.6006°S, 120.2296°E, 135m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.8mm 14/01/2020 Total This Month 3.7mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 25.1mm 5.6 days Wettest January on record 223.2mm 1965

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Jerdacuttup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 25.1mm 5.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 3.7mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1.2mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 1.8mm Jan14
    Lowest Temperature 8.5°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan 7

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jerdacuttup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.9 28.3 26.6 23.7 20.0 17.2 16.3 17.3 19.5 22.5 25.1 27.2 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.6 13.6 11.9 9.6 7.9 6.7 6.7 7.4 9.1 11.1 12.8 10.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 25.1 27.3 33.5 32.7 44.0 43.9 46.9 44.8 41.0 36.3 31.3 23.7 430.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.6 5.8 7.6 8.1 10.6 12.1 13.1 12.7 11.3 9.8 7.4 5.9 109.3

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