Forecast
Jelcobine (32.4069°S, 116.7661°E, 279m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY18° 26° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:41am WST 6:06am WST 6:39pm WST 7:04pm WST NOW18.3° Feels Like: 17.8° Relative Humidity: 81% Dew: 15.0° Wind: SE 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
JelcobineNow18.5°cFeels Like:16.2°Wind:E 18km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:76%18°Min26°MaxToday in JelcobineCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow18°Min31°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h tending NE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Jelcobine
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Jelcobine (32.4069°S, 116.7661°E, 279m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 18° 18° 21° 19° 19° 12° 11° Maximum 26° 31° 32° 29° 23° 22° 22° Chance of rain 20% 60% 40% 30% 60% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)17
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction E ESE ENE ENE NE NNE NW WNW SE S SSE SSE SE SE Relative humidity 73% 50% 59% 35% 52% 35% 78% 43% 78% 53% 66% 39% 65% 38% Dew point 15°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 18°C 16°C 15°C 13°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Jelcobine Rain Forecast
Jelcobine 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT8
9
MEDIUM10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
14
15
16
17
18
19
LOW20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
LOWApr 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Jelcobine Rain Forecast
Jelcobine 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb202120221066667767884105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Jelcobine Rain Forecast
Jelcobine 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT8
9
MEDIUM10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
14
15
16
17
18
19
LOW20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
LOW23
LOW24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
LOWApr 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
MEDIUM5
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Jelcobine Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Mar 0318.5 °C 23.9 °C 7.9 mmThursday
Mar 0419.1 °C 27.8 °C 27.4 mmFriday
Mar 0519.1 °C 28.4 °C 3.3 mmSaturday
Mar 0618.0 °C 26.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 0717.5 °C - 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Jelcobine minimum temp history (32.4069°S, 116.7661°E, 279m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 28.6° 02/03/2021 Coldest this month 15.5° 02/03/2021 Hottest on record 41.0 01/03/1998 Coldest on record 3.0 24/03/2001 Hottest this year 41.3° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.9° 19/02/2021 Long term average 29.3° Long term average 14.4° Average this month 26.1° Average this month 17.7° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.8° 1994 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.7° 1968 Jelcobine rainfall history (32.4069°S, 116.7661°E, 279m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 27.4mm 04/03/2021 Total This Month 61.2mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 18.1mm 3.2 days Wettest March on record 102.6mm 1963 Driest on record 0.0mm 1994 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
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- Dampier
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- Darwin Airport
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Year to Date
Jelcobine Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 46.8mm 7.9 day(s) Total For 2021 77.6mm 11.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 35.2mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 27.4mm Mar 4 Lowest Temperature 8.9°C Feb19 Highest Temperature 41.3°C Jan 9 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Jelcobine Climatology
Jelcobine Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.9 32.3 29.3 24.9 20.6 17.3 16.2 16.9 19.2 23.6 27.7 31.2 24.3 Mean Min (°C) 15.7 16.3 14.4 11.3 7.8 5.6 4.6 4.6 5.4 7.8 11.1 13.8 9.8 Mean Rain (mm) 13.2 15.5 18.1 25.5 56.0 83.7 83.7 62.7 38.6 25.1 14.7 10.2 447.2 Mean Rain Days 2.2 2.5 3.2 5.6 10.0 13.8 15.6 13.5 10.2 7.0 4.0 2.5 90.2