Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 04:00 AM WST on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, Pilbara Coast West, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Eucla Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, North Kimberley Coast, Pilbara Coast West, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast, Leeuwin Coast and Eucla Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 pm WST Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Irwin (29.2193°S, 115.0807°E, 48m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY18° 24° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:21am WST 5:46am WST 7:20pm WST 7:46pm WST NOW14.7° Feels Like: 14.1° Relative Humidity: 82% Dew: 11.6° Wind: SW 6km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
IrwinNow14.3°cFeels Like:13.5°Wind:S 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:80%18°Min24°MaxToday in IrwinMostly sunny. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.Tomorrow17°Min28°MaxSunny. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE early in the morning then tending S/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.
Forecast for Irwin (29.2193°S, 115.0807°E, 48m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 18° 17° 23° 26° 27° 25° 27° Maximum 24° 28° 33° 35° 35° 35° 34° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)36
(km/h)20
(km/h)36
(km/h)32
(km/h)27
(km/h)32
(km/h)17
(km/h)22
(km/h)31
(km/h)26
(km/h)21
(km/h)29
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SW SE SSW E S E SSE ENE SW ESE SSE E SE Relative humidity 59% 61% 46% 47% 40% 34% 32% 33% 33% 37% 31% 28% 34% 34% Dew point 13°C 16°C 12°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 17°C 13°C 17°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Irwin Rain Forecast
Irwin 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
29
30
31
Feb 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
11
LOW12
13
14
15
16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Irwin Rain Forecast
Irwin 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021878765768578105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Irwin Rain Forecast
Irwin 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
29
30
31
Feb 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
11
LOW12
13
14
15
16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
Irwin Observations History
We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Irwin
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Past 5 Days
Irwin Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Jan 2122.4 °C 31.2 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Jan 2219.9 °C 33.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 2321.9 °C 28.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2420.8 °C 26.3 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 25- - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Irwin minimum temp history (29.2193°S, 115.0807°E, 48m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 42.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this month 14.8° 05/01/2021 Hottest on record 47.3 29/01/1944 Coldest on record 9.0 07/01/1989 Hottest this year 42.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 14.8° 05/01/2021 Long term average 36.8° Long term average 19.6° Average this month 37.5° Average this month 22.0° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 39.8° 2015 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 1951 Irwin rainfall history (29.2193°S, 115.0807°E, 48m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.6mm 19/01/2021 Total This Month 4.8mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 13.4mm 2.3 days Wettest January on record 87.4mm 2017 Driest on record 0.0mm 2020 -
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Year to Date
Irwin Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 13.4mm 2.3 day(s) Total For 2021 4.8mm 3.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Wettest Day 2.6mm Jan19 Lowest Temperature 14.8°C Jan 5 Highest Temperature 42.1°C Jan 9 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Irwin Climatology
Irwin Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 36.8 36.5 33.8 28.7 23.7 19.9 18.8 20.2 23.5 27.2 31.1 34.4 27.8 Mean Min (°C) 19.6 20.3 18.6 15.1 11.2 8.7 7.1 7.3 8.7 11.3 14.5 17.1 13.2 Mean Rain (mm) 13.4 19.1 19.4 21.7 46.2 63.5 59.2 42.8 20.6 12.7 8.7 8.6 337.9 Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.5 2.6 3.7 6.9 10.0 10.8 9.4 6.0 3.9 2.3 1.9 62.7