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Forecast

Inggarda (24.9422°S, 114.2661°E, 54m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 16° 26°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:25am WST 5:48am WST 6:33pm WST 6:56pm WST
    NOW
    21.8° Feels Like: 21.3°
    Relative Humidity: 75%
    Dew: 17.2°
    Wind: SW 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Inggarda
    Now
    21.8°c
    Feels Like:
    21.3°
    Wind:
    SW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    75%
    Sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Inggarda
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog in the northwest. Slight chance of a shower in the far northeast. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east. Winds NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h tending NW/NE in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the far northeast. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h before dawn then tending NW/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 38.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog in the northwest. Slight chance of a shower in the far northeast. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east. Winds NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h tending NW/NE in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s.

    Forecast for Inggarda (24.9422°S, 114.2661°E, 54m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Increasing sunshine Increasing sunshine Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 16° 17° 17° 16° 17° 17° 19°
    Maximum 26° 25° 26° 27° 28° 30° 31°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW SW WSW S SW S SW S SSW SSE SSW SSE SSW
    Relative humidity 71% 67% 69% 65% 66% 63% 60% 53% 63% 52% 52% 45% 36% 38%
    Dew point 18°C 19°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 19°C 14°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 14°C 17°C 10°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Inggarda Rain Forecast


    Inggarda 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 October to 3 November, 9 November to 13 November, and 16 November to 20 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 November to 11 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Inggarda Rain Forecast


    Inggarda 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    6
    8
    8
    7
    1
    5
    6
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Inggarda Rain Forecast


    Inggarda 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 October to 3 November, 9 November to 13 November, and 16 November to 20 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 November to 11 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Inggarda Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Oct 14
    16.9 °C 26.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    17.2 °C 25.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    15.1 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    17.0 °C 26.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Oct 18
    17.3 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Inggarda minimum temp history (24.9422°S, 114.2661°E, 54m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.4° 07/10/2019 Coldest this month 14.5° 03/10/2019
    Hottest on record 42.4 24/10/1958 Coldest on record 8.1 01/10/2009
    Hottest this year 45.3° 27/01/2019 Coldest this year 6.0° 20/08/2019
    Long term average 26.1° Long term average 16.4°
    Average this month 26.8° Average this month 17.1°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.1° 2010 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1980
    Inggarda rainfall history (24.9422°S, 114.2661°E, 54m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/10/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 5.1mm 2.3 days Wettest October on record 52.6mm 2010
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Inggarda Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 215.0mm 41.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 125.8mm 30.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 95.0mm 24.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.6mm Jun23
    Lowest Temperature 6.0°C Aug20
    Highest Temperature 45.3°C Jan27
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Inggarda Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 32.6 31.6 29.2 26.3 23.4 22.4 23.1 24.5 26.1 27.7 29.4 27.3
    Mean Min (°C) 22.6 23.4 22.1 19.2 14.8 12.3 10.9 11.6 13.9 16.4 18.7 20.7 17.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 12.0 19.9 16.9 13.3 33.6 46.7 44.0 17.6 5.9 5.1 4.0 5.4 224.3
    Mean Rain Days 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.8 5.4 8.0 7.8 5.6 3.4 2.3 1.2 0.7 43.4