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Forecast

Gregory (28.1865°S, 114.2508°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 24° 30°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am WST 6:10am WST 7:04pm WST 7:29pm WST
    NOW
    22.9° Feels Like: 25.2°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 20.8°
    Wind: SSW 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure: 1012.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gregory
    Now
    22.9°c
    Feels Like:
    25.2°
    Wind:
    SSW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    24°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Gregory
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely during this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, with gusty winds during this afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    23°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Gregory

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely during this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, with gusty winds during this afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.

    Forecast for Gregory (28.1865°S, 114.2508°E, 11m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 24° 23° 22° 21° 21° 22° 23°
    Maximum 30° 30° 29° 30° 31° 32° 34°
    Chance of rain 70% 80% 80% 60% 70% 60% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E ENE SE E W SSE WSW E WSW E SW SE SSW
    Relative humidity 71% 64% 69% 55% 69% 66% 72% 64% 72% 61% 64% 54% 54% 43%
    Dew point 20°C 23°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 21°C 18°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gregory Rain Forecast


    Gregory 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gregory Rain Forecast


    Gregory 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    7
    6
    5
    6
    6
    8
    4
    7
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gregory Rain Forecast


    Gregory 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gregory Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    19.7 °C 28.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    19.9 °C 36.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    21.6 °C 31.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    23.9 °C 38 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    24 °C -
    0.7 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gregory minimum temp history (28.1865°S, 114.2508°E, 11m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.8° 02/02/2020 Coldest this month 16.2° 01/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.3 10/02/1984 Coldest on record 11.9 26/02/2009
    Hottest this year 41.8° 02/02/2020 Coldest this year 13.6° 31/01/2020
    Long term average 34.4° Long term average 20.7°
    Average this month 31.5° Average this month 21.0°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.8° 1996 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 18.2° 1983
    Gregory rainfall history (28.1865°S, 114.2508°E, 11m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/02/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 8.0mm 1.6 days Wettest February on record 65.7mm 2011
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1973
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Gregory Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 13.4mm 3.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.1mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 0.0mm Jan 1
    Lowest Temperature 13.6°C Jan31
    Highest Temperature 41.8°C Feb 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gregory Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.2 34.4 32.6 29.5 25.9 22.9 21.8 22.5 24.1 26.2 28.3 31.1 27.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.6 20.7 19.2 16.4 13.2 11.1 9.7 9.9 10.8 12.5 15.0 17.5 14.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 5.4 8.0 13.1 19.6 54.9 79.2 70.4 47.7 23.8 14.0 7.1 3.7 344.2
    Mean Rain Days 1.5 1.6 2.3 3.7 7.2 10.4 11.2 9.3 6.9 4.1 2.8 1.2 59.8