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Forecast

Gorge Rock (32.4572°S, 117.9917°E, 297m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 17° 27°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:30am WST 5:55am WST 6:48pm WST 7:13pm WST
    NOW
    25.0° Feels Like: 22.6°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 14.8°
    Wind: E 20km/h
    Gust: 31km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Gorge Rock
    Now
    24.4°c
    Feels Like:
    20.5°
    Wind:
    ESE 28km/h
    Gusts:
    41km/h
    Humidity:
    55%
    Showers
     
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Gorge Rock
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the southwest, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Gorge Rock

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid 20s.

    Forecast for Gorge Rock (32.4572°S, 117.9917°E, 297m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Showers Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 17° 20° 18° 16° 14° 16°
    Maximum 27° 27° 28° 29° 29° 27° 29°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 10% 5% 10% 10%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 27
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E ESE E E ENE NW WNW SSE SSE SE SE E ESE
    Relative humidity 79% 58% 74% 52% 61% 51% 69% 45% 69% 42% 65% 44% 65% 40%
    Dew point 16°C 18°C 15°C 17°C 14°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Gorge Rock Rain Forecast


    Gorge Rock 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Gorge Rock Rain Forecast


    Gorge Rock 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    1
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    5
    7
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Gorge Rock Rain Forecast


    Gorge Rock 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 March to 9 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 28 March to 1 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Gorge Rock Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    18.0 °C 24.0 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    16.0 °C 31.0 °C
    -
    Monday
    Feb 24
    17.5 °C 26.0 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    18.0 °C 29.5 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    17.0 °C -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Gorge Rock minimum temp history (32.4572°S, 117.9917°E, 297m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.0° 06/02/2020 Coldest this month 0.5° 11/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.5 03/02/2007 Coldest on record 6.5 16/02/1974
    Hottest this year 41.0° 06/02/2020 Coldest this year 0.5° 11/02/2020
    Long term average 31.6° Long term average 16.0°
    Average this month 32.3° Average this month 16.7°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.8° 1985 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 1981
    Gorge Rock rainfall history (32.4572°S, 117.9917°E, 297m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 16.9mm 2.6 days Wettest February on record 184.2mm 1955
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1928
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Gorge Rock Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 34.4mm 5.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 mm 0.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 3.6mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day mm
    Lowest Temperature 0.5°C Feb11
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Feb 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Gorge Rock Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.6 31.6 28.9 24.3 19.7 16.5 15.3 16.4 19.2 23.3 27.2 30.5 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.0 14.3 11.2 7.6 5.9 4.9 4.7 5.8 8.2 11.4 14.0 9.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 17.5 16.9 21.3 22.7 46.2 58.7 58.9 47.3 29.3 21.0 16.7 13.1 369.2
    Mean Rain Days 2.5 2.6 3.4 5.1 9.4 12.8 14.3 12.3 9.2 6.4 4.2 2.7 84.0