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Forecast

Goongarrie (29.8843°S, 121.1064°E, 400m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 21° 40°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:26am WST 4:51am WST 6:30pm WST 6:56pm WST
    NOW
    22.7° Feels Like: 19.2°
    Relative Humidity: 46%
    Dew: 10.5°
    Wind: E 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Goongarrie
    Now
    22.7°c
    Feels Like:
    19.2°
    Wind:
    E 19km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Mostly sunny
     
    21°
    Min
    40°
    Max
    Today in Goongarrie
    Very hot and sunny. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 42.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    24°
    Min
    42°
    Max
    Very hot and sunny. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 25 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 40s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Very hot and sunny. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 42.

    Forecast for Goongarrie (29.8843°S, 121.1064°E, 400m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 21° 24° 22° 23° 19° 13° 16°
    Maximum 40° 42° 41° 41° 28° 27° 32°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 50% 40% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NW N NW ENE NW NNE NW SW WSW ESE ENE E WSW
    Relative humidity 12% 7% 9% 6% 18% 8% 18% 9% 35% 15% 37% 16% 20% 11%
    Dew point 0°C -1°C -1°C -2°C 6°C 1°C 8°C 2°C 6°C -1°C 3°C -0°C 0°C -2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Goongarrie Rain Forecast


    Goongarrie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 November to 26 November, 26 November to 30 November, and 7 December to 11 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 16 December to 20 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 November to 26 November, 4 December to 8 December, and 8 December to 12 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Goongarrie Rain Forecast


    Goongarrie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    5
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    6
    9
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Goongarrie Rain Forecast


    Goongarrie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 November to 26 November, 26 November to 30 November, and 7 December to 11 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 16 December to 20 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 November to 26 November, 4 December to 8 December, and 8 December to 12 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Goongarrie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Nov 11
    13.7 °C 28.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    10.9 °C 26.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    14.6 °C 30.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14
    18.1 °C 37.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 15
    19.0 °C 38 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Goongarrie minimum temp history (29.8843°S, 121.1064°E, 400m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.9° 10/11/2019 Coldest this month 7.9° 03/11/2019
    Hottest on record 42.9 26/11/2000 Coldest on record 3.1 09/11/1992
    Hottest this year 45.3° 28/02/2019 Coldest this year -0.5° 29/06/2019
    Long term average 29.1° Long term average 14.2°
    Average this month 30.1° Average this month 13.5°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.7° 2006 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 12.0° 1948
    Goongarrie rainfall history (29.8843°S, 121.1064°E, 400m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/11/2019 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 18.4mm 4.0 days Wettest November on record 115.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Goongarrie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 255.7mm 65.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 129.6mm 40.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 313.4mm 76.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 15.8mm Jun 8
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 45.3°C Feb28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Goongarrie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.7 32.1 29.4 25.2 20.7 17.5 16.8 18.7 22.3 25.9 29.1 32.0 25.2
    Mean Min (°C) 18.3 17.9 16.1 12.7 8.7 6.2 5.0 5.7 8.0 11.2 14.2 16.6 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.7 31.0 27.6 20.8 25.6 28.0 25.3 21.7 14.3 15.3 18.4 17.4 273.0
    Mean Rain Days 3.8 4.4 4.5 5.3 7.1 9.2 9.5 7.5 5.5 4.3 4.0 3.8 68.1