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Forecast

Exmouth Gulf (22.6547°S, 114.2408°E, 88m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 27° 36°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:05am WST 6:27am WST 6:35pm WST 6:58pm WST
    NOW
    32.7° Feels Like: 35.6°
    Relative Humidity: 58%
    Dew: 23.6°
    Wind: E 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Exmouth Gulf
    Now
    34.4°c
    Feels Like:
    35.4°
    Wind:
    N 24km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    54%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    27°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Exmouth Gulf
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SW, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 40.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    27°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/SE 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 41.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Exmouth Gulf

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SW, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 40.

    Forecast for Exmouth Gulf (22.6547°S, 114.2408°E, 88m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 27° 27° 27° 27° 28° 28° 26°
    Maximum 36° 37° 38° 39° 39° 38° 37°
    Chance of rain 50% 30% 20% 10% 10% 10% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High
    Fire Danger Rating High High High Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ENE E ENE E NE ESE NNE ESE NE E NNE ESE NNE
    Relative humidity 79% 56% 69% 47% 50% 33% 48% 33% 42% 31% 40% 27% 48% 28%
    Dew point 25°C 24°C 25°C 23°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 15°C 19°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Exmouth Gulf Rain Forecast


    Exmouth Gulf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Exmouth Gulf Rain Forecast


    Exmouth Gulf 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    9
    6
    7
    8
    8
    8
    9
    9
    5
    9
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Exmouth Gulf Rain Forecast


    Exmouth Gulf 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Exmouth Gulf Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    25.8 °C 39.2 °C
    0.8 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    26.6 °C 41.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    29.0 °C 39.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    24.3 °C 34.0 °C
    26.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    26.0 °C 33.4 °C
    8.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Exmouth Gulf minimum temp history (22.6547°S, 114.2408°E, 88m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.6° 16/03/2024 Coldest this month 22.5° 01/03/2024
    Hottest on record 45.5 03/03/1985 Coldest on record 15.0 20/03/1993
    Hottest this year 45.2° 21/02/2024 Coldest this year 20.5° 06/01/2024
    Long term average 36.5° Long term average 23.0°
    Average this month 38.1° Average this month 24.8°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 39.0° 2010 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 20.0° 1993
    Exmouth Gulf rainfall history (22.6547°S, 114.2408°E, 88m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 26.4mm 18/03/2024 Total This Month 35.2mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.2mm 2.4 days Wettest March on record 413.6mm 2015
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2013
  15. Year to Date

    Exmouth Gulf Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 103.5mm 7.5 day(s)
    Total For 2024 38.8mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 34.6mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 26.4mm Mar18
    Lowest Temperature 20.5°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Feb21
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Exmouth Gulf Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 38.0 37.6 36.5 33.3 28.6 24.8 24.4 26.5 29.6 32.9 34.6 37.0 31.9
    Mean Min (°C) 23.1 24.0 23.0 20.4 16.0 13.1 11.4 12.2 13.8 16.4 18.4 20.9 17.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.0 36.3 40.2 19.5 41.6 42.5 21.1 11.6 2.2 1.5 1.8 4.9 245.2
    Mean Rain Days 2.1 3.0 2.4 1.8 3.6 5.0 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 26.2