Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 04:00 PM WST on Tuesday 19 March 2024
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 20 March 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 19 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 20 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 am WST Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Eurardy (27.4949°S, 114.7217°E, 219m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW21° 36° cloud and wind increasing Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:04am WST 6:27am WST 6:34pm WST 6:57pm WST NOW23.3° Feels Like: 17.4° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 18.6° Wind: SE 46km/h Gust: 52km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.6hPa -
Today Weather
EurardyNow28.5°cFeels Like:24.0°Wind:SE 28km/hGusts:30km/hHumidity:38%21°Min36°MaxToday in EurardyMostly sunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.Tomorrow21°Min36°MaxSunny. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h turning SE 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
Forecast for Eurardy (27.4949°S, 114.7217°E, 219m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 21° 22° 22° 21° 20° 19° 21° Maximum 36° 35° 36° 35° 34° 34° 31° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating High Moderate High High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 34
(km/h)11
(km/h)27
(km/h)20
(km/h)29
(km/h)16
(km/h)36
(km/h)21
(km/h)34
(km/h)11
(km/h)24
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction E SE E S E SSE E ESE E SSE E SSW E SW Relative humidity 57% 44% 50% 36% 42% 31% 42% 29% 42% 31% 37% 29% 34% 27% Dew point 17°C 22°C 16°C 18°C 14°C 17°C 11°C 15°C 10°C 15°C 9°C 13°C 8°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Eurardy Rain Forecast
Eurardy 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Eurardy Rain Forecast
Eurardy 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025956556637977105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Eurardy Rain Forecast
Eurardy 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Eurardy Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1524.8 °C 39.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1625.0 °C 38.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1725.3 °C 34.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1820.6 °C 30.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1920.9 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Eurardy minimum temp history (27.4949°S, 114.7217°E, 219m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 40.7° 14/03/2024 Coldest this month 16.8° 10/03/2024 Hottest on record 47.2 06/03/2007 Coldest on record 10.0 30/03/1977 Hottest this year 48.1° 18/02/2024 Coldest this year 15.8° 28/01/2024 Long term average 32.7° Long term average 19.4° Average this month 34.6° Average this month 22.0° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.6° 2012 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 16.9° 1993 Eurardy rainfall history (27.4949°S, 114.7217°E, 219m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.3mm 03/03/2024 Total This Month 0.3mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 12.0mm 2.4 days Wettest March on record 113.8mm 2000 Driest on record 0.0mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Eurardy Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 24.8mm 5.6 day(s) Total For 2024 28.7mm 3.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.2mm Feb25 Lowest Temperature 15.8°C Jan28 Highest Temperature 48.1°C Feb18 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Eurardy Climatology
Eurardy Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.2 34.2 32.7 29.5 26.1 23.0 21.9 22.6 24.2 26.1 28.4 31.2 27.7 Mean Min (°C) 19.8 20.6 19.4 16.4 13.3 11.1 9.7 10.0 10.9 12.6 15.1 17.7 14.7 Mean Rain (mm) 4.9 7.9 12.0 19.2 53.0 75.6 69.2 48.0 23.3 13.8 6.7 3.6 336.0 Mean Rain Days 1.5 1.7 2.4 3.8 7.2 10.5 11.6 9.8 6.9 4.2 2.7 1.2 63.3