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Forecast

Esperance (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 16° 23°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:41am WST 6:06am WST 5:46pm WST 6:11pm WST
    NOW
    20.2° Feels Like: 17.4°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 15.8°
    Wind: WSW 24km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure: 1008.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Esperance
    Now
    21.1°c
    Feels Like:
    17.4°
    Wind:
    SW 28km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Possible shower
     
    16°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Esperance
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    14°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Esperance (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Cloudy Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 14° 11° 10° 12° 14° 15°
    Maximum 23° 19° 20° 23° 24° 24° 27°
    Chance of rain 40% 30% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW SW SW SW WSW SSW NE SSE ENE ESE ENE ESE ENE ESE
    Relative humidity 63% 67% 52% 56% 60% 57% 58% 56% 58% 51% 59% 51% 59% 44%
    Dew point 13°C 13°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Esperance Rain Forecast


    Esperance 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Esperance Rain Forecast


    Esperance 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    8
    5
    1
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Esperance Rain Forecast


    Esperance 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Esperance Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    14.7 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    10.0 °C 23.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    10.7 °C 22.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    10.9 °C 23.0 °C
    -
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    17.0 °C -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Esperance minimum temp history (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.0° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 10.9° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 40.1 04/04/1978 Coldest on record 5.5 28/04/2007
    Hottest this year 41.4° 08/02/2020 Coldest this year 10.0° 30/03/2020
    Long term average 23.2° Long term average 13.3°
    Average this month 23.0° Average this month 10.9°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2011 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 11.5° 1995
    Esperance rainfall history (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 44.7mm 10.6 days Wettest April on record 154.9mm 1970
    Driest on record 3.2mm 1999
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Esperance Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 129.0mm 30.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 31.4mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 17.6mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 5.8mm Feb12
    Lowest Temperature 10.0°C Mar30
    Highest Temperature 41.4°C Feb 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Esperance Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 26.2 25.1 23.2 20.4 18.0 17.2 18.0 19.4 21.2 23.2 24.6 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 15.7 16.1 15.1 13.3 11.1 9.1 8.3 8.6 9.5 10.8 12.8 14.4 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.2 26.8 30.3 44.7 73.3 78.6 95.5 83.4 61.8 47.0 33.9 19.9 621.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.7 8.1 10.6 14.4 16.3 17.4 16.6 14.4 11.7 9.5 6.7 134.4