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Forecast

Esperance (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 13° 22°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:39am WST 5:05am WST 6:10pm WST 6:36pm WST
    NOW
    17.7° Feels Like: 12.6°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 13.4°
    Wind: SE 32km/h
    Gust: 41km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Esperance
    Now
    17.4°c
    Feels Like:
    12.7°
    Wind:
    SE 33km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Mostly sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Esperance
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 20.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    13°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Esperance

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 20.

    Forecast for Esperance (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum 13° 13° 13° 12° 10° 10° 14°
    Maximum 22° 19° 19° 18° 19° 25° 29°
    Chance of rain 80% 90% 70% 30% 5% 50% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE SSE ESE SE S S SSW S ESE SE ENE E NNE NE
    Relative humidity 84% 77% 78% 78% 77% 74% 63% 59% 58% 56% 53% 40% 43% 35%
    Dew point 15°C 14°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Esperance Rain Forecast


    Esperance 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Esperance Rain Forecast


    Esperance 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    4
    7
    8
    9
    7
    8
    6
    3
    1
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Esperance Rain Forecast


    Esperance 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Esperance Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 16
    13.6 °C 18.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 17
    6.6 °C 18.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    7.9 °C 23.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    12.5 °C 23.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    15.3 °C 20.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Esperance minimum temp history (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.3° 13/10/2020 Coldest this month 6.6° 17/10/2020
    Hottest on record 40.9 31/10/1988 Coldest on record 3.6 14/10/1970
    Hottest this year 41.4° 08/02/2020 Coldest this year 3.8° 21/06/2020
    Long term average 21.2° Long term average 10.8°
    Average this month 20.3° Average this month 10.7°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 9.2° 1993
    Esperance rainfall history (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 21.4mm 04/10/2020 Total This Month 31.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.0mm 11.7 days Wettest October on record 117.0mm 1982
    Driest on record 6.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Esperance Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 568.6mm 121.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 448.0mm 81.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 380.6mm 92.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.4mm Aug 4
    Lowest Temperature 3.8°C Jun21
    Highest Temperature 41.4°C Feb 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Esperance Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 26.2 25.1 23.2 20.4 18.0 17.2 18.0 19.4 21.2 23.2 24.6 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 15.7 16.1 15.1 13.3 11.1 9.1 8.3 8.6 9.5 10.8 12.8 14.4 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.2 26.8 30.3 44.7 73.3 78.6 95.5 83.4 61.8 47.0 33.9 19.9 621.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.7 8.1 10.6 14.4 16.3 17.4 16.6 14.4 11.7 9.5 6.7 134.4