Forecast
Esperance (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 19° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:30am WST 5:55am WST 6:05pm WST 6:30pm WST NOW18.6° Feels Like: 12.2° Relative Humidity: 47% Dew: 7.1° Wind: SE 30km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1027.6hPa -
Today Weather
EsperanceNow18.3°cFeels Like:10.9°Wind:SE 32km/hGusts:37km/hHumidity:39%15°Min19°MaxToday in EsperanceCloudy. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 19.Tomorrow13°Min21°MaxMostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Esperance
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 19.
Forecast for Esperance (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 15° 13° 13° 15° 14° 13° 14° Maximum 19° 21° 22° 21° 22° 23° 25° Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 20% 20% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Moderate High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 26
(km/h)26
(km/h)16
(km/h)24
(km/h)11
(km/h)25
(km/h)16
(km/h)28
(km/h)15
(km/h)27
(km/h)11
(km/h)21
(km/h)12
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSE ENE ESE ENE SE ESE SE ESE SE ENE SSE NNE SSE Relative humidity 48% 51% 54% 52% 62% 61% 70% 64% 68% 64% 65% 58% 64% 53% Dew point 6°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Esperance Rain Forecast
Esperance 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Esperance Rain Forecast
Esperance 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025846566667816105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Esperance Rain Forecast
Esperance 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Esperance Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1517.3 °C 22.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1615.7 °C 23.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1716.1 °C 26.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1818.6 °C 23.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1916.0 °C 19.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Esperance minimum temp history (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.2° 08/03/2024 Coldest this month 15.7° 16/03/2024 Hottest on record 44.0 07/03/2008 Coldest on record 7.4 27/03/1991 Hottest this year 46.6° 20/02/2024 Coldest this year 10.8° 06/02/2024 Long term average 25.2° Long term average 15.2° Average this month 24.3° Average this month 17.5° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.9° 2005 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 13.6° 1981 Esperance rainfall history (33.8613°S, 121.8914°E, 3m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.8mm 02/03/2024 Total This Month 10.2mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 29.5mm 8.0 days Wettest March on record 145.0mm 2013 Driest on record 0.6mm 1980 -
Year to Date
Esperance Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 79.6mm 19.8 day(s) Total For 2024 28.6mm 13.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 24.0mm 13.0 day(s) Wettest Day 7.8mm Jan12 Lowest Temperature 10.8°C Feb 6 Highest Temperature 46.6°C Feb20 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Esperance Climatology
Esperance Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.2 25.2 23.3 20.5 18.1 17.3 18.0 19.5 21.2 23.1 24.6 21.9 Mean Min (°C) 15.7 16.2 15.2 13.3 11.0 9.2 8.4 8.7 9.6 10.9 12.8 14.4 12.1 Mean Rain (mm) 24.9 25.2 29.5 44.4 70.8 79.9 95.7 86.5 61.1 48.4 34.8 19.1 620.2 Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.7 8.0 10.8 14.1 16.4 17.2 16.9 14.2 11.7 9.5 6.5 136.9