Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 10:00 AM WST on Tuesday 19 March 2024
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 20 March 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 19 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters and Eucla Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 20 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 pm WST Tuesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Eradu (28.6477°S, 115.0883°E, 180m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 32° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:58am WST 6:21am WST 6:30pm WST 6:53pm WST NOW31.6° Feels Like: 26.2° Relative Humidity: 33% Dew: 13.4° Wind: E 33km/h Gust: 35km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.4hPa -
Today Weather
EraduNow28.0°cFeels Like:22.0°Wind:E 35km/hGusts:43km/hHumidity:39%19°Min32°MaxToday in EraduSunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 35.Tomorrow18°Min31°MaxSunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds E 30 to 45 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 35.
Forecast for Eradu (28.6477°S, 115.0883°E, 180m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 19° 18° 18° 20° 18° 17° 19° Maximum 32° 31° 34° 33° 32° 33° 34° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating High High High High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 36
(km/h)31
(km/h)36
(km/h)25
(km/h)25
(km/h)15
(km/h)30
(km/h)24
(km/h)35
(km/h)28
(km/h)31
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ESE E E E ESE E ESE E E E E ENE E Relative humidity 56% 33% 55% 34% 47% 27% 41% 23% 45% 24% 44% 18% 38% 16% Dew point 13°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 11°C 13°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Eradu Rain Forecast
Eradu 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Eradu Rain Forecast
Eradu 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025956556637977105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Eradu Rain Forecast
Eradu 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Eradu Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1523.1 °C 38.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1627.2 °C 39.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1724.1 °C - 1.6 mmMonday
Mar 18- 38.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1918.2 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Eradu minimum temp history (28.6477°S, 115.0883°E, 180m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.8° 16/03/2024 Coldest this month 16.0° 09/03/2024 Hottest on record 44.0 05/03/2007 Coldest on record 7.4 28/03/1968 Hottest this year 47.1° 20/02/2024 Coldest this year 14.1° 24/02/2024 Long term average 33.9° Long term average 18.6° Average this month 36.3° Average this month 22.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 36.5° 1950 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 15.6° 1938 Eradu rainfall history (28.6477°S, 115.0883°E, 180m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.6mm 17/03/2024 Total This Month 2.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 20.8mm 2.7 days Wettest March on record 170.7mm 1927 Driest on record 0.0mm 2012 -
Year to Date
Eradu Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 52.8mm 7.5 day(s) Total For 2024 35.2mm 6.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 20.4mm 5.0 day(s) Wettest Day 24.0mm Feb25 Lowest Temperature 14.1°C Feb24 Highest Temperature 47.1°C Feb20 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Eradu Climatology
Eradu Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 36.9 36.5 33.9 28.7 23.7 19.9 18.9 20.2 23.5 27.3 31.1 34.5 27.9 Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.3 18.6 15.1 11.3 8.6 7.1 7.3 8.7 11.3 14.5 17.2 13.2 Mean Rain (mm) 13.1 18.9 20.8 21.9 45.8 62.6 59.1 42.7 20.5 12.7 8.5 8.4 337.2 Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.8 6.8 10.0 10.8 9.3 6.0 3.9 2.3 1.9 62.7