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Forecast

East Murchison (26.3369°S, 117.2665°E, 390m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 12° 26°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:23am WST 6:48am WST 5:20pm WST 5:46pm WST
    NOW
    13.7° Feels Like: 10.0°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 0.0°
    Wind: NE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1024.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    East Murchison
    Now
    15.3°c
    Feels Like:
    11.0°
    Wind:
    NNE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    33%
    Sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in East Murchison
    Sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    10°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for East Murchison

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.

    Forecast for East Murchison (26.3369°S, 117.2665°E, 390m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 10° 10° 10° 12° 14°
    Maximum 26° 24° 24° 25° 25° 27° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ESE ENE E ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NNW NE NW
    Relative humidity 27% 16% 28% 17% 32% 16% 28% 15% 28% 13% 34% 17% 41% 31%
    Dew point -1°C -2°C -2°C -3°C -1°C -4°C -3°C -4°C -2°C -6°C 3°C -0°C 7°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    East Murchison Rain Forecast


    East Murchison 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 June to 22 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 June to 14 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 June to 22 June, 22 June to 26 June, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    East Murchison Rain Forecast


    East Murchison 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    7
    8
    8
    7
    10
    8
    8
    10
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    East Murchison Rain Forecast


    East Murchison 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 June to 22 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 June to 14 June, and 3 July to 7 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 June to 22 June, 22 June to 26 June, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    East Murchison Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    May 31
    5.4 °C 19.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 01
    7.7 °C 20.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    10.9 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    8.5 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    12.0 °C 27.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    East Murchison minimum temp history (26.3369°S, 117.2665°E, 390m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.0° 03/06/2020 Coldest this month 7.7° 01/06/2020
    Hottest on record 29.0 03/06/2016 Coldest on record 0.4 23/06/1955
    Hottest this year 44.6° 01/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.9° 27/05/2020
    Long term average 19.7° Long term average 8.8°
    Average this month 22.8° Average this month 9.0°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.6° 1962 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 6.6° 1950
    East Murchison rainfall history (26.3369°S, 117.2665°E, 390m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/06/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 29.9mm 5.9 days Wettest June on record 186.6mm 1986
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    East Murchison Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 167.9mm 27.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 116.4mm 24.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 38.4mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.6mm Jan14
    Lowest Temperature 4.9°C May27
    Highest Temperature 44.6°C Jan 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    East Murchison Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 38.3 36.7 34.2 29.3 23.8 19.7 19.1 21.5 25.7 29.8 33.3 36.5 28.9
    Mean Min (°C) 24.4 23.8 21.3 17.1 12.1 8.8 7.4 8.6 11.5 15.3 18.8 22.1 15.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.7 36.3 30.5 19.1 22.4 29.9 21.6 10.9 4.6 6.3 12.5 14.9 239.1
    Mean Rain Days 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.1 4.5 5.9 5.5 3.5 1.9 1.7 2.5 3.1 44.0