Forecast
East Munglinup (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY12° 20° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:35am WST 6:00am WST 6:09pm WST 6:34pm WST NOW17.0° Feels Like: 11.0° Relative Humidity: 53% Dew: 7.3° Wind: SE 28km/h Gust: 35km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1053.6hPa -
Today Weather
East MunglinupNow17.9°cFeels Like:11.7°Wind:SE 28km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:47%12°Min20°MaxToday in East MunglinupCloudy. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 19.Tomorrow9°Min23°MaxMostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for East Munglinup
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 19.
Forecast for East Munglinup (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 12° 9° 10° 12° 11° 10° 11° Maximum 20° 23° 24° 22° 23° 24° 27° Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)27
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)26
(km/h)16
(km/h)24
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSE ENE E NE ESE ESE SE E SE ENE ESE NNE E Relative humidity 48% 44% 53% 38% 59% 40% 65% 55% 61% 51% 64% 39% 55% 32% Dew point 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
East Munglinup Rain Forecast
East Munglinup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
East Munglinup Rain Forecast
East Munglinup 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025846566667816105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
East Munglinup Rain Forecast
East Munglinup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
East Munglinup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1516.6 °C 23.9 °C 1.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1616.6 °C 27.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1717.3 °C 31.4 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Mar 1816.2 °C 20.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1911.3 °C 20.7 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
East Munglinup minimum temp history (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.2° 08/03/2024 Coldest this month 11.3° 19/03/2024 Hottest on record 43.7 01/03/2008 Coldest on record 6.2 30/03/2017 Hottest this year 46.4° 20/02/2024 Coldest this year 8.3° 05/02/2024 Long term average 27.0° Long term average 14.0° Average this month 24.8° Average this month 15.7° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.2° 2005 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 12.8° 2004 East Munglinup rainfall history (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 28.4mm 04/03/2024 Total This Month 43.0mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 33.6mm 8.6 days Wettest March on record 129.0mm 2016 Driest on record 6.2mm 2014 -
Year to Date
East Munglinup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 102.6mm 23.4 day(s) Total For 2024 68.8mm 25.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 7.0mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 28.4mm Mar 4 Lowest Temperature 8.3°C Feb 5 Highest Temperature 46.4°C Feb20 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
East Munglinup Climatology
East Munglinup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.9 29.0 27.0 24.2 20.5 17.6 16.8 17.9 20.3 23.3 25.7 27.7 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.9 14.0 12.1 9.5 7.7 6.6 6.8 7.5 9.3 11.1 12.5 10.5 Mean Rain (mm) 33.8 35.2 33.6 34.1 39.0 40.8 40.4 48.1 36.2 40.5 30.9 54.7 470.2 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.1 8.6 11.6 14.0 15.4 16.1 17.3 15.0 11.9 10.5 7.1 141.6