Forecast
East Munglinup (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 22° possible shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:47am WST 5:14am WST 7:05pm WST 7:32pm WST NOW17.1° Feels Like: 13.7° Relative Humidity: 88% Dew: 15.1° Wind: SW 26km/h Gust: 39km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.0hPa -
Today Weather
East MunglinupNow17.3°cFeels Like:12.8°Wind:E 30km/hGusts:39km/hHumidity:81%15°Min22°MaxToday in East MunglinupPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the E early this morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h turning S 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.Tomorrow13°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for East Munglinup
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the E early this morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h turning S 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.
Forecast for East Munglinup (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 15° 13° 12° 11° 12° 13° 11° Maximum 22° 26° 25° 27° 31° 27° 30° Chance of rain 80% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)26
(km/h)17
(km/h)28
(km/h)18
(km/h)29
(km/h)20
(km/h)26
(km/h)16
(km/h)23
(km/h)20
(km/h)29
(km/h)18
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction E SSW ESE SSE ESE SSE E SE NE SSE SE SSE E ESE Relative humidity 82% 70% 64% 51% 59% 46% 55% 41% 50% 29% 58% 41% 53% 30% Dew point 15°C 15°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
East Munglinup Rain Forecast
East Munglinup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
6
7
8
LOW9
MEDIUM10
11
12
LOW13
14
15
16
LOW17
LOW18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
East Munglinup Rain Forecast
East Munglinup 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021878765686677105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
East Munglinup Rain Forecast
East Munglinup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
6
7
8
LOW9
MEDIUM10
11
12
LOW13
14
15
16
LOW17
LOW18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
East Munglinup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2316.5 °C 41.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2414.3 °C 27.6 °C 1.4 mmMonday
Jan 2513.7 °C 25.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2612.8 °C 28.1 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2712.8 °C 19.2 °C 0.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
East Munglinup minimum temp history (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.5° 09/01/2021 Coldest this month 9.6° 06/01/2021 Hottest on record 47.6 06/01/2010 Coldest on record 8.0 13/01/2003 Hottest this year 41.5° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 9.6° 06/01/2021 Long term average 29.0° Long term average 14.5° Average this month 29.6° Average this month 13.8° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.4° 2005 East Munglinup rainfall history (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.4mm 24/01/2021 Total This Month 1.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 38.3mm 7.9 days Wettest January on record 207.2mm 2007 Driest on record 2.6mm 2015 -
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Year to Date
East Munglinup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 38.3mm 7.9 day(s) Total For 2021 1.8mm 2.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 15.4mm 7.0 day(s) Wettest Day 1.4mm Jan24 Lowest Temperature 9.6°C Jan 6 Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan 9 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
East Munglinup Climatology
East Munglinup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.0 28.9 26.9 24.4 20.6 17.8 16.8 18.0 20.2 23.5 25.9 27.7 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 15.0 13.9 12.1 9.5 7.7 6.6 6.8 7.4 9.4 11.2 12.6 10.5 Mean Rain (mm) 38.3 38.8 35.0 28.6 39.6 37.3 41.1 47.6 37.5 36.5 30.3 62.5 479.8 Mean Rain Days 7.9 7.2 8.6 11.1 13.7 15.0 16.3 17.3 14.9 11.6 10.2 7.4 141.6