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Forecast

East Munglinup (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 12° 20°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:35am WST 6:00am WST 6:09pm WST 6:34pm WST
    NOW
    17.0° Feels Like: 11.0°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 7.3°
    Wind: SE 28km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1053.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    East Munglinup
    Now
    17.9°c
    Feels Like:
    11.7°
    Wind:
    SE 28km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    47%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in East Munglinup
    Cloudy. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 19.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for East Munglinup

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 19.

    Forecast for East Munglinup (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 10° 12° 11° 10° 11°
    Maximum 20° 23° 24° 22° 23° 24° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SSE ENE E NE ESE ESE SE E SE ENE ESE NNE E
    Relative humidity 48% 44% 53% 38% 59% 40% 65% 55% 61% 51% 64% 39% 55% 32%
    Dew point 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    East Munglinup Rain Forecast


    East Munglinup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    East Munglinup Rain Forecast


    East Munglinup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    8
    4
    6
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    8
    1
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    East Munglinup Rain Forecast


    East Munglinup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    East Munglinup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    16.6 °C 23.9 °C
    1.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    16.6 °C 27.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    17.3 °C 31.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    16.2 °C 20.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    11.3 °C 20.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    East Munglinup minimum temp history (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.2° 08/03/2024 Coldest this month 11.3° 19/03/2024
    Hottest on record 43.7 01/03/2008 Coldest on record 6.2 30/03/2017
    Hottest this year 46.4° 20/02/2024 Coldest this year 8.3° 05/02/2024
    Long term average 27.0° Long term average 14.0°
    Average this month 24.8° Average this month 15.7°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.2° 2005 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 12.8° 2004
    East Munglinup rainfall history (33.7323°S, 120.9609°E, 107m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 28.4mm 04/03/2024 Total This Month 43.0mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 33.6mm 8.6 days Wettest March on record 129.0mm 2016
    Driest on record 6.2mm 2014
  15. Year to Date

    East Munglinup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 102.6mm 23.4 day(s)
    Total For 2024 68.8mm 25.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 7.0mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 28.4mm Mar 4
    Lowest Temperature 8.3°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 46.4°C Feb20
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    East Munglinup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.9 29.0 27.0 24.2 20.5 17.6 16.8 17.9 20.3 23.3 25.7 27.7 23.2
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.9 14.0 12.1 9.5 7.7 6.6 6.8 7.5 9.3 11.1 12.5 10.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 33.8 35.2 33.6 34.1 39.0 40.8 40.4 48.1 36.2 40.5 30.9 54.7 470.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.1 8.6 11.6 14.0 15.4 16.1 17.3 15.0 11.9 10.5 7.1 141.6