Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 10:00 AM WST on Tuesday 19 March 2024
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 20 March 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 19 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters and Eucla Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 20 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 pm WST Tuesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Eagle Bay (33.5573°S, 115.0599°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 26° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:58am WST 6:23am WST 6:32pm WST 6:57pm WST NOW21.0° Feels Like: 12.7° Relative Humidity: 36% Dew: 5.4° Wind: E 37km/h Gust: 41km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1025.9hPa -
Today Weather
Eagle BayNow20.8°cFeels Like:12.6°Wind:SE 35km/hGusts:44km/hHumidity:32%13°Min26°MaxToday in Eagle BayPartly cloudy. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 26.Tomorrow12°Min27°MaxSunny. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. Wind gusts up to 75 km/h over the hills and foot hills in the late evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h turning E 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 26.
Forecast for Eagle Bay (33.5573°S, 115.0599°E, 10m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 13° 12° 15° 16° 15° 15° 16° Maximum 26° 27° 28° 28° 28° 29° 29° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Extreme High High High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 30
(km/h)36
(km/h)28
(km/h)20
(km/h)24
(km/h)34
(km/h)39
(km/h)40
(km/h)34
(km/h)35
(km/h)22
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction ESE SSE ENE SSE ESE SSE ESE SSE E SSE ENE WSW ENE WSW Relative humidity 44% 40% 55% 39% 59% 51% 63% 53% 61% 51% 59% 47% 55% 50% Dew point 6°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 13°C 16°C 13°C 15°C 12°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Eagle Bay Rain Forecast
Eagle Bay 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Eagle Bay Rain Forecast
Eagle Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025755555647716105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Eagle Bay Rain Forecast
Eagle Bay 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Eagle Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1518.4 °C 30.7 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1618.0 °C 28.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1717.0 °C 23.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1816.6 °C 25.8 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Mar 1910.4 °C 21.3 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Eagle Bay minimum temp history (33.5573°S, 115.0599°E, 10m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.1° 07/03/2024 Coldest this month 11.9° 10/03/2024 Hottest on record 37.4 06/03/2007 Coldest on record 6.4 26/03/1990 Hottest this year 39.4° 19/02/2024 Coldest this year 11.1° 29/01/2024 Long term average 25.2° Long term average 15.4° Average this month 28.0° Average this month 16.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.9° 2011 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 12.7° 1960 Eagle Bay rainfall history (33.5573°S, 115.0599°E, 10m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.2mm 18/03/2024 Total This Month 0.6mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 22.8mm 5.6 days Wettest March on record 154.0mm 1998 Driest on record 0.2mm 2012 -
Year to Date
Eagle Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 45.7mm 13.1 day(s) Total For 2024 0.6mm 3.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 24.6mm 9.0 day(s) Wettest Day 0.2mm Mar18 Lowest Temperature 11.1°C Jan29 Highest Temperature 39.4°C Feb19 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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- Darwin Airport
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Eagle Bay Climatology
Eagle Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.2 26.7 25.2 22.3 19.8 17.8 16.8 16.9 17.8 19.6 22.2 24.5 21.3 Mean Min (°C) 15.5 16.0 15.4 14.0 12.8 11.6 10.6 10.2 10.5 11.2 12.7 14.2 12.9 Mean Rain (mm) 10.7 12.2 22.8 44.1 112.7 159.8 158.6 112.3 74.9 48.6 25.8 13.0 795.3 Mean Rain Days 3.8 3.7 5.6 10.4 17.4 21.3 23.4 21.4 17.8 13.4 8.4 5.1 151.8