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Forecast

Dumbleyung (33.3147°S, 117.7399°E, 285m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 14° 32°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:51am WST 5:19am WST 7:19pm WST 7:46pm WST
    NOW
    17.5° Feels Like: 13.1°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 9.6°
    Wind: E 22km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Dumbleyung
    Now
    17.5°c
    Feels Like:
    13.1°
    Wind:
    E 22km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Dumbleyung
    Sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the southwest, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending S in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Dumbleyung (33.3147°S, 117.7399°E, 285m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 14° 14° 10° 13° 12° 14° 16°
    Maximum 32° 26° 24° 28° 31° 32° 35°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 40% 10% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE WSW WSW SW SW SW SW SSW E SW SE S E W
    Relative humidity 43% 19% 59% 37% 52% 35% 61% 29% 59% 19% 59% 23% 57% 17%
    Dew point 10°C 6°C 11°C 10°C 6°C 8°C 11°C 8°C 12°C 6°C 12°C 9°C 13°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dumbleyung Rain Forecast


    Dumbleyung 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    HIGH
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dumbleyung Rain Forecast


    Dumbleyung 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dumbleyung Rain Forecast


    Dumbleyung 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    HIGH
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dumbleyung Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    16.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    - 33.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    17.4 °C 31.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    14.5 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    12.9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Dumbleyung minimum temp history (33.3147°S, 117.7399°E, 285m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.1° 07/01/2020 Coldest this month 4.9° 04/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.0 12/01/2014 Coldest on record 4.2 16/01/1994
    Hottest this year 37.1° 07/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.9° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 31.1° Long term average 14.6°
    Average this month 31.0° Average this month 13.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.1° 2015 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.8° 1994
    Dumbleyung rainfall history (33.3147°S, 117.7399°E, 285m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/01/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 14.0mm 2.5 days Wettest January on record 167.4mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Dumbleyung Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 14.0mm 2.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 0.0mm Jan 1
    Lowest Temperature 4.9°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan 7
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Dumbleyung Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.1 30.4 27.7 23.7 19.4 16.4 15.3 16.1 18.2 21.9 25.8 29.2 22.9
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 14.9 13.5 10.9 8.1 6.3 5.5 5.7 6.3 7.8 10.7 12.9 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 14.0 15.7 20.3 29.3 54.8 69.8 70.0 55.6 38.9 28.0 19.5 12.7 427.3
    Mean Rain Days 2.5 2.6 3.6 5.9 10.5 14.0 15.2 13.7 10.6 8.1 4.9 3.0 89.1