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Forecast

Denham (25.9279°S, 113.5337°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 16° 26°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:22am WST 5:45am WST 6:36pm WST 7:00pm WST
    NOW
    23.2° Feels Like: 19.9°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 13.1°
    Wind: S 22km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Denham
    Now
    22.0°c
    Feels Like:
    19.1°
    Wind:
    SSE 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    71%
    Windy
     
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Denham
    Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the far northeast during this afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during the morning and afternoon. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    17°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 38.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the far northeast during this afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during the morning and afternoon. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.

    Forecast for Denham (25.9279°S, 113.5337°E, 0m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Windy Windy Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 17° 17° 17° 19° 19° 17°
    Maximum 26° 25° 25° 29° 30° 26° 26°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SW S SW S SSW SSE SSW SE SSW SSW WSW SSW SW
    Relative humidity 74% 64% 80% 72% 76% 64% 54% 50% 45% 47% 72% 73% 79% 69%
    Dew point 16°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 15°C 18°C 12°C 17°C 12°C 17°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Denham Rain Forecast


    Denham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 November to 6 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 November to 20 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 19 November to 23 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Denham Rain Forecast


    Denham 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    6
    8
    8
    7
    1
    5
    6
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Denham Rain Forecast


    Denham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 November to 6 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 November to 20 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 19 November to 23 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Denham Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    16.5 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Oct 18
    16.5 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    16.5 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    16.5 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    16.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Denham minimum temp history (25.9279°S, 113.5337°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.0° 09/10/2019 Coldest this month 16.0° 01/10/2019
    Hottest on record 38.9 28/10/1996 Coldest on record 7.8 08/10/1992
    Hottest this year 44.0° 27/01/2019 Coldest this year 8.5° 18/05/2019
    Long term average 25.7° Long term average 16.7°
    Average this month 25.4° Average this month 16.9°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.1° 2010 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1992
    Denham rainfall history (25.9279°S, 113.5337°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/10/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 5.7mm 1.8 days Wettest October on record 73.3mm 2010
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Denham Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 215.0mm 35.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 106.4mm 21.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 201.6mm 28.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.0mm Jun 7
    Lowest Temperature 8.5°C May18
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan27
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Denham Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.7 32.0 31.1 28.7 25.7 22.9 21.7 22.6 23.9 25.7 27.7 29.2 26.8
    Mean Min (°C) 22.1 23.0 22.1 19.8 16.4 13.8 12.7 13.2 14.9 16.7 18.7 20.5 17.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 7.0 15.6 15.2 13.9 37.1 53.7 38.5 20.8 7.5 5.7 3.0 2.3 214.2
    Mean Rain Days 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.1 4.9 7.1 7.1 5.5 2.9 1.8 0.9 0.5 31.7