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Forecast

Carnarvon (24.8837°S, 113.657°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 24° 31°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:00am WST 6:23am WST 6:49pm WST 7:12pm WST
    NOW
    26.0° Feels Like: 30.5°
    Relative Humidity: 96%
    Dew: 25.3°
    Wind: S 11km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1008.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Carnarvon
    Now
    24.0°c
    Feels Like:
    26.6°
    Wind:
    S 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Sunny
     
    24°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Carnarvon
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far NE, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far NE during this afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    24°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in central and E parts in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/SE 20 to 25 km/h turning NE 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to 20 to 26 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 40.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far NE, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far NE during this afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 41.

    Forecast for Carnarvon (24.8837°S, 113.657°E, 1m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 24° 24° 23° 23° 23° 24° 25°
    Maximum 31° 30° 29° 31° 32° 33° 36°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW WSW W W W WSW S SW S SSW SSE SSW ESE SSE
    Relative humidity 82% 80% 90% 84% 89% 79% 87% 76% 75% 67% 66% 67% 66% 60%
    Dew point 25°C 26°C 26°C 25°C 24°C 23°C 25°C 25°C 23°C 24°C 21°C 25°C 23°C 26°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Carnarvon Rain Forecast


    Carnarvon 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Carnarvon Rain Forecast


    Carnarvon 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2021
    2022
    9
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    8
    8
    9
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Carnarvon Rain Forecast


    Carnarvon 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Carnarvon Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 03
    21.3 °C 27.4 °C
    11.2 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 04
    20.3 °C 28.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Mar 05
    19.3 °C 29.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 06
    21.0 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 07
    23.4 °C 30.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Carnarvon minimum temp history (24.8837°S, 113.657°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.5° 07/03/2021 Coldest this month 19.3° 05/03/2021
    Hottest on record 47.8 06/03/2007 Coldest on record 13.2 29/03/2007
    Hottest this year 44.2° 30/01/2021 Coldest this year 19.0° 05/01/2021
    Long term average 31.7° Long term average 22.2°
    Average this month 28.9° Average this month 21.6°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.8° 1988 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 20.1° 1968
    Carnarvon rainfall history (24.8837°S, 113.657°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.2mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 11.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 16.2mm 2.2 days Wettest March on record 206.0mm 2000
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2018
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Carnarvon Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 46.8mm 6.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 197.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 0.3mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 137.2mm Feb 5
    Lowest Temperature 19.0°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 44.2°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Carnarvon Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 32.5 31.7 29.2 26.4 23.5 22.5 23.2 24.5 26.1 27.7 29.5 27.3
    Mean Min (°C) 22.6 23.4 22.2 19.2 14.8 12.3 10.9 11.6 13.9 16.5 18.7 20.7 17.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 11.5 19.1 16.2 13.0 32.5 46.2 42.7 17.3 6.3 4.9 3.8 5.3 218.4
    Mean Rain Days 1.9 2.4 2.2 2.7 5.3 7.9 7.7 5.6 3.4 2.3 1.2 0.7 43.1