Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Fire Weather Warning
for Exmouth Gulf Coast, Gascoyne Coast and Coastal Central West - North fire weather districts
Issued at 03:58 PM WST on Thursday 28 January 2021
Weather Situation
Very hot conditions, with a fresh to strong and gusty sea breeze developing about the northern west coast.
For Friday 29 January:
Severe Fire Danger for the following areas:
Exmouth Gulf Coast, Gascoyne Coast and Coastal Central West - North
The Department of Fire and Emergency Services advises you to:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.dfes.wa.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.dfes.wa.gov.au.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am WST Friday.
Forecast
Burrup (20.6208°S, 116.7846°E, 35m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW28° 37° Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:30am WST 5:54am WST 6:58pm WST 7:22pm WST NOW34.9° Feels Like: 32.5° Relative Humidity: 32% Dew: 16.2° Wind: W 22km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 999.3hPa -
Today Weather
BurrupNow31.1°cFeels Like:31.3°Wind:NW 26km/hGusts:30km/hHumidity:62%28°Min37°MaxToday in BurrupVery hot and mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the E. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW before dawn then tending NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 45.Tomorrow28°Min37°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 41. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Very hot and mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the E. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW before dawn then tending NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 45.
Forecast for Burrup (20.6208°S, 116.7846°E, 35m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 28° 27° 28° 29° 27° 27° 27° Maximum 37° 35° 35° 35° 31° 32° 33° Chance of rain 10% 50% 50% 80% 80% 90% 80% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm > 80mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)29
(km/h)10
(km/h)28
(km/h)20
(km/h)32
(km/h)27
(km/h)41
(km/h)49
(km/h)51
(km/h)39
(km/h)41
(km/h)30
(km/h)32
(km/h)Wind direction W NNW NNE NW SW W S SSE E ENE N NNE NNE NNW Relative humidity 49% 46% 69% 58% 67% 59% 60% 57% 76% 68% 76% 71% 74% 65% Dew point 21°C 22°C 24°C 25°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 25°C 23°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 24°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Burrup Rain Forecast
Burrup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
11
12
LOW13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Burrup Rain Forecast
Burrup 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021878888889979105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Burrup Rain Forecast
Burrup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
LOW6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
11
12
LOW13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Burrup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2426.3 °C 34.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2524.6 °C 35.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2625.1 °C 37.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2725.0 °C 39.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 2826.1 °C 40.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Burrup minimum temp history (20.6208°S, 116.7846°E, 35m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 43.6° 10/01/2021 Coldest this month 22.7° 06/01/2021 Hottest on record 48.2 21/01/2003 Coldest on record 20.5 04/01/2007 Hottest this year 43.6° 10/01/2021 Coldest this year 22.7° 06/01/2021 Long term average 36.0° Long term average 26.9° Average this month 38.6° Average this month 28.3° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.9° 1996 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 25.2° 2000 Burrup rainfall history (20.6208°S, 116.7846°E, 35m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 19.4mm 22/01/2021 Total This Month 21.0mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 49.1mm 4.2 days Wettest January on record 263.4mm 2006 Driest on record 0.0mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Burrup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 49.1mm 4.2 day(s) Total For 2021 21.0mm 3.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 70.8mm 5.0 day(s) Wettest Day 19.4mm Jan22 Lowest Temperature 22.7°C Jan 6 Highest Temperature 43.6°C Jan10 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Burrup Climatology
Burrup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 36.0 35.8 36.3 34.5 30.1 26.6 26.5 28.4 31.0 34.1 35.1 35.9 32.5 Mean Min (°C) 26.9 26.8 26.0 23.0 18.3 15.1 13.9 14.4 17.1 20.9 23.2 25.7 20.9 Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 74.4 48.0 15.5 27.6 34.4 14.6 4.2 1.2 0.4 1.3 15.2 290.2 Mean Rain Days 4.2 5.0 4.0 1.7 3.1 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.4 26.9