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Forecast

Bulgarra (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 27° 38°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:26am WST 5:50am WST 6:59pm WST 7:23pm WST
    NOW
    29.8° Feels Like: 29.0°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 24.4°
    Wind: W 35km/h
    Gust: 41km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bulgarra
    Now
    30.0°c
    Feels Like:
    29.9°
    Wind:
    W 28km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Sunny
     
    27°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Today in Bulgarra
    Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northeast in the afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h tending E/SE in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 39 to 45.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    27°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 39 to 45.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Very hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northeast in the afternoon and evening. Winds S/SE 25 to 35 km/h tending E/SE in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 39 to 45.

    Forecast for Bulgarra (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 27° 28° 27° 28° 28° 28° 28°
    Maximum 38° 35° 35° 36° 37° 38° 39°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W NW NNW NNW WSW WNW SW NW NW NNW WNW NW W NW
    Relative humidity 41% 41% 65% 58% 63% 54% 48% 46% 63% 56% 61% 54% 59% 50%
    Dew point 19°C 22°C 24°C 26°C 24°C 24°C 21°C 22°C 25°C 27°C 25°C 27°C 25°C 26°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bulgarra Rain Forecast


    Bulgarra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bulgarra Rain Forecast


    Bulgarra 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    9
    6
    7
    7
    9
    8
    8
    8
    9
    8
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bulgarra Rain Forecast


    Bulgarra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bulgarra Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    28.3 °C 36.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    28.1 °C 36.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    27.8 °C 35.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    28.7 °C 36.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    27.2 °C 36 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bulgarra minimum temp history (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.3° 06/01/2020 Coldest this month 24.5° 05/01/2020
    Hottest on record 48.2 21/01/2003 Coldest on record 20.5 04/01/2007
    Hottest this year 38.3° 06/01/2020 Coldest this year 24.5° 05/01/2020
    Long term average 35.9° Long term average 26.8°
    Average this month 36.3° Average this month 28.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.9° 1996 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 25.2° 2000
    Bulgarra rainfall history (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 30.0mm 05/01/2020 Total This Month 70.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.3mm 4.2 days Wettest January on record 263.4mm 1996
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Bulgarra Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 50.3mm 4.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 70.8mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.0mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 24.5°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 38.3°C Jan 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bulgarra Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.9 35.8 36.1 34.3 30.0 26.5 26.2 28.3 30.8 34.1 35.0 35.8 32.4
    Mean Min (°C) 26.8 26.7 25.9 22.7 18.3 15.1 13.8 14.3 16.9 20.8 23.1 25.6 20.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 50.3 80.2 49.1 18.0 29.2 36.5 14.8 4.4 1.3 0.5 1.4 14.6 303.1
    Mean Rain Days 4.2 5.3 4.0 1.8 3.2 3.3 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.4 26.4