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Forecast

Bulgarra (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 10° 21°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:25am WST 6:49am WST 5:41pm WST 6:06pm WST
    NOW
    16.0° Feels Like: 8.2°
    Relative Humidity: 45%
    Dew: 4.1°
    Wind: E 33km/h
    Gust: 39km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1022.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bulgarra
    Now
    14.9°c
    Feels Like:
    8.2°
    Wind:
    E 30km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    55%
    Sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Bulgarra
    Sunny. Winds SE 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds E/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 23.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds SE 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 22.

    Forecast for Bulgarra (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 11° 12° 14° 17° 17° 16°
    Maximum 21° 22° 23° 24° 25° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 40% 30% 30% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E ESE E ESE ENE E ENE SE NE SSE NW SE E
    Relative humidity 49% 37% 58% 43% 52% 46% 54% 63% 66% 63% 76% 65% 55% 49%
    Dew point 5°C 5°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 11°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bulgarra Rain Forecast


    Bulgarra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bulgarra Rain Forecast


    Bulgarra 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    8
    9
    8
    9
    8
    6
    8
    7
    7
    10
    9
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bulgarra Rain Forecast


    Bulgarra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bulgarra Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 20
    11.9 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 21
    16.4 °C 18.1 °C
    2.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 22
    9.4 °C 22.6 °C
    11.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 23
    8.4 °C 21.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 24
    8.2 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bulgarra minimum temp history (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.4° 07/06/2021 Coldest this month 8.4° 23/06/2021
    Hottest on record 32.8 18/06/2010 Coldest on record 7.1 15/06/2006
    Hottest this year 43.6° 10/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.4° 23/06/2021
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 15.1°
    Average this month 25.1° Average this month 17.0°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.3° 2010 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 12.4° 2006
    Bulgarra rainfall history (20.7271°S, 116.8544°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.4mm 22/06/2021 Total This Month 15.2mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.4mm 3.2 days Wettest June on record 271.6mm 2013
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Bulgarra Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 250.2mm 21.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 292.8mm 25.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 366.6mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 62.8mm May 5
    Lowest Temperature 8.4°C Jun23
    Highest Temperature 43.6°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bulgarra Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.1 35.7 36.2 34.4 30.1 26.6 26.5 28.4 31.0 34.1 35.1 35.9 32.5
    Mean Min (°C) 26.9 26.8 26.0 22.9 18.3 15.1 13.9 14.4 17.1 20.9 23.2 25.7 20.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.5 74.3 47.5 16.4 29.1 34.4 14.6 4.2 1.2 0.4 1.3 15.2 290.2
    Mean Rain Days 4.2 5.0 4.0 1.7 3.1 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.4 26.9