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Forecast

Breton Bay (31.1998°S, 115.4204°E, 42m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 13° 24°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:07am WST 6:31am WST 6:12pm WST 6:36pm WST
    NOW
    24.2° Feels Like: 20.8°
    Relative Humidity: 24%
    Dew: 2.4°
    Wind: ESE 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Breton Bay
    Now
    24.7°c
    Feels Like:
    19.7°
    Wind:
    ESE 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    23%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    13°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Breton Bay
    Mostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    13°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Breton Bay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Breton Bay (31.1998°S, 115.4204°E, 42m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 13° 18° 19° 20° 22° 21°
    Maximum 24° 28° 30° 33° 33° 34° 33°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 20% 5% 5% 20% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE S ENE SSE ENE SSE ENE SE ENE E NE NW NNE WNW
    Relative humidity 59% 42% 47% 35% 36% 39% 41% 39% 45% 38% 44% 50% 47% 52%
    Dew point 8°C 10°C 7°C 11°C 7°C 14°C 10°C 17°C 11°C 17°C 14°C 21°C 16°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Breton Bay Rain Forecast


    Breton Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 7 May to 11 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 April to 12 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 22 April to 26 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 26 April to 30 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Breton Bay Rain Forecast


    Breton Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    5
    6
    5
    5
    5
    7
    3
    7
    8
    1
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Breton Bay Rain Forecast


    Breton Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 3

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 7 May to 11 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 April to 12 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 22 April to 26 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 26 April to 30 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Breton Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Mar 30
    12.5 °C 23.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    18.5 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    15.0 °C 24.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    19.6 °C 24.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    11.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Breton Bay minimum temp history (31.1998°S, 115.4204°E, 42m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.3° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 15.0° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 37.5 03/04/1971 Coldest on record 4.4 27/04/1968
    Hottest this year 42.0° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year 7.8° 10/01/2020
    Long term average 25.5° Long term average 14.5°
    Average this month 24.3° Average this month 17.3°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.5° 1978 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 12.2° 1970
    Breton Bay rainfall history (31.1998°S, 115.4204°E, 42m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/04/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 30.6mm 7.0 days Wettest April on record 123.8mm 1974
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Breton Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 70.1mm 14.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 33.6mm 9.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 10.4mm 7.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 10.0mm Feb27
    Lowest Temperature 7.8°C Jan10
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Breton Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.2 29.9 28.5 25.5 22.6 20.2 19.2 19.4 20.5 22.5 24.9 27.3 24.2
    Mean Min (°C) 17.6 18.1 16.8 14.5 12.4 10.8 9.9 9.9 10.6 12.0 14.2 16.2 13.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 10.6 13.3 15.6 30.6 81.0 118.5 122.6 91.2 55.8 30.6 20.4 7.9 593.2
    Mean Rain Days 2.1 2.1 3.6 7.0 11.8 15.2 16.5 15.0 12.3 7.9 5.3 2.9 98.7