Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 04:00 PM WST on Thursday 28 January 2021
for the period until midnight WST Friday 29 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, North Kimberley Coast, Pilbara Coast West, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 29 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
North Kimberley Coast, West Kimberley Coast, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 am WST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Bluff Point (28.7394°S, 114.6237°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW21° 37° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:23am WST 5:49am WST 7:20pm WST 7:45pm WST NOW24.2° Feels Like: 18.3° Relative Humidity: 65% Dew: 17.2° Wind: S 42km/h Gust: 57km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1008.1hPa -
Today Weather
Bluff PointNow24.2°cFeels Like:18.3°Wind:S 42km/hGusts:57km/hHumidity:65%21°Min37°MaxToday in Bluff PointSunny. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h tending E/SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 39.Tomorrow21°Min37°MaxVery hot. Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the afternoon and early evening. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h tending E 25 to 35 km/h before dawn then tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 27 with daytime temperatures reaching 36 to 41. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h tending E/SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 39.
Forecast for Bluff Point (28.7394°S, 114.6237°E, 9m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 21° 25° 26° 24° 28° 26° 23° Maximum 37° 40° 40° 40° 37° 36° 37° Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 10% 30% 60% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 37
(km/h)35
(km/h)37
(km/h)26
(km/h)28
(km/h)31
(km/h)30
(km/h)32
(km/h)38
(km/h)28
(km/h)29
(km/h)35
(km/h)37
(km/h)40
(km/h)Wind direction E S E S ENE SW ESE SSE E SE ESE SSE SE SSE Relative humidity 30% 29% 22% 22% 26% 25% 22% 19% 25% 24% 34% 34% 32% 28% Dew point 11°C 14°C 8°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 11°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bluff Point Rain Forecast
Bluff Point 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
29
30
31
Feb 1
2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
5
6
LOW7
8
9
10
11
LOW12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bluff Point Rain Forecast
Bluff Point 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021878765768578105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bluff Point Rain Forecast
Bluff Point 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
29
30
31
Feb 1
2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
5
6
LOW7
8
9
10
11
LOW12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Bluff Point Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2420.8 °C 26.3 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 25- - -Tuesday
Jan 26- - -Wednesday
Jan 27- - -Thursday
Jan 2814.6 °C 29.5 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bluff Point minimum temp history (28.7394°S, 114.6237°E, 9m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 42.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this month 9.4° 26/01/2021 Hottest on record 47.3 29/01/1944 Coldest on record 9.0 07/01/1989 Hottest this year 42.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 9.4° 26/01/2021 Long term average 36.8° Long term average 19.6° Average this month 36.8° Average this month 21.6° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 39.8° 2015 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 1951 Bluff Point rainfall history (28.7394°S, 114.6237°E, 9m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.6mm 19/01/2021 Total This Month 4.8mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 13.4mm 2.3 days Wettest January on record 87.4mm 2017 Driest on record 0.0mm 2020 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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- Cairns Airport
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Year to Date
Bluff Point Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 13.4mm 2.3 day(s) Total For 2021 4.8mm 3.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Wettest Day 2.6mm Jan19 Lowest Temperature 9.4°C Jan26 Highest Temperature 42.1°C Jan 9 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bluff Point Climatology
Bluff Point Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 36.8 36.5 33.8 28.7 23.7 19.9 18.8 20.2 23.5 27.2 31.1 34.4 27.8 Mean Min (°C) 19.6 20.3 18.6 15.1 11.2 8.7 7.1 7.3 8.7 11.3 14.5 17.1 13.2 Mean Rain (mm) 13.4 19.1 19.4 21.7 46.2 63.5 59.2 42.8 20.6 12.7 8.7 8.6 337.9 Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.5 2.6 3.7 6.9 10.0 10.8 9.4 6.0 3.9 2.3 1.9 62.7