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Forecast

Big Bell (27.3194°S, 117.65°E, 446m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 22°
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:25am WST 6:51am WST 5:21pm WST 5:46pm WST
    NOW
    19.9° Feels Like: 12.2°
    Relative Humidity: 28%
    Dew: 0.9°
    Wind: WNW 30km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Big Bell
    Now
    20.9°c
    Feels Like:
    15.8°
    Wind:
    WNW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    22%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Big Bell
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower near the far southwest coast late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the far southwest coast in the early morning. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Big Bell

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower near the far southwest coast late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Big Bell (27.3194°S, 117.65°E, 446m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 10° 13°
    Maximum 22° 18° 20° 22° 22° 26° 29°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 5% 20% 20% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N WNW SSW SW SE SSE E E ENE ENE NE NNE NNE N
    Relative humidity 48% 22% 67% 36% 64% 37% 64% 35% 50% 31% 42% 29% 35% 24%
    Dew point 3°C -1°C 6°C 2°C 5°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 5°C 3°C 3°C 6°C 3°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Big Bell Rain Forecast


    Big Bell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Big Bell Rain Forecast


    Big Bell 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    8
    7
    10
    8
    8
    10
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Big Bell Rain Forecast


    Big Bell 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Big Bell Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    May 25
    13.8 °C 21.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    May 26
    6.3 °C 18.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    May 27
    4.7 °C 18.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    5.6 °C 20.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    4.2 °C 20.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Big Bell minimum temp history (27.3194°S, 117.65°E, 446m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.1° 04/05/2020 Coldest this month 4.7° 27/05/2020
    Hottest on record 35.1 01/05/2013 Coldest on record 3.3 29/05/2004
    Hottest this year 44.8° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.2° 29/05/2020
    Long term average 23.8° Long term average 11.6°
    Average this month 24.2° Average this month 10.1°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 1998 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 2000
    Big Bell rainfall history (27.3194°S, 117.65°E, 446m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 25/05/2020 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 17.9mm 4.8 days Wettest May on record 55.2mm 1999
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1996
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Big Bell Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 139.6mm 24.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 61.6mm 18.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 84.0mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 13.0mm Mar20
    Lowest Temperature 4.2°C May29
    Highest Temperature 44.8°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Big Bell Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.9 36.8 33.0 28.8 23.8 19.8 18.8 21.3 24.6 29.5 32.7 35.7 28.5
    Mean Min (°C) 23.5 23.2 20.1 16.2 11.6 8.3 7.0 8.0 10.3 14.5 18.0 21.1 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.5 37.1 37.8 19.3 17.9 21.8 30.1 16.7 9.0 6.4 11.6 22.0 257.3
    Mean Rain Days 4.7 5.0 5.1 4.7 4.8 6.5 8.0 5.8 4.1 3.0 3.2 3.6 56.0