Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Western Australia
This Flood Watch provides early advice of possible flooding within the specified catchments.
Flood Watch For The East Kimberley, Sandy Desert And Fitzroy River Catchments
Issued at 11:58 AM WST on Thursday 28 January 2021
Flood Watch Number: 3
FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST KIMBERLEY RIVERS, SANDY DESERT AND FITZROY RIVER
A developing tropical low lies over the northern Kimberley about 100km west of Wyndham, and is expected to move slowly towards the west-southwest during Thursday and Friday. The low is expected to produce heavy over the Kimberley for the next couple of days.
Areas of heaviest rainfall are forecast to be close to the tropical low.
During Thursday into Friday 24 hour rainfall is forecast to be 50 - 100 mm with isolated falls to 170 mm in the North and West Kimberley Rivers from Kalumburu to Broome and parts of the northern area of the Fitzroy River. Further rainfall of 30 - 50 mm with isolated falls of 75 mm is expected in the Fitzroy River, parts of the North Kimberley Rivers and Sandy Desert.
The passage of this tropical low is expected to bring large rainfall totals. It is possible some localities will receive up to 400 mm with the passage of this tropical low.
Heavy rainfall is expected to cause significant flooding throughout the Kimberley region, impacts are likely to be typical of those experienced after a strong monsoonal burst. Secondary roads are likely to be disrupted and some communities and localities are likely to become isolated by road.
Dangerous flood waters may develop rapidly.
Catchments likely to be affected include:
East Kimberley Rivers
Fitzroy River
Sandy Desert
North Kimberley Rivers
West Kimberley Rivers
North Kimberley Rivers:
Cancellation
This flood watch is available by dialling 1300 659 213. For more information on the Flood Watch Service visit http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml
Flood Safety Advice:
Current river levels are available from Department of Water and Environmental Regulation at www.water.wa.gov.au/maps-and-data/monitoring/river-level-monitoring
DFES advises people and communities to be aware that flooding is possible and be prepared to relocate equipment and livestock. Watch water levels. Travellers need to be aware that road conditions may be adversely affected and travel plans may need to be reconsidered. Do not drive into water of unknown depth and velocity.
Community information is available from DFES at www.dfes.wa.gov.au}
Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 12:00 pm WST on Friday 29 January 2021.
Forecast
Bamboo Creek (21.509°S, 123.8505°E, 263m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW27° 36° Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:07am WST 5:30am WST 6:38pm WST 7:02pm WST NOW39.4° Feels Like: Relative Humidity: Dew: Wind: E 7km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: Pressure: 1000.1hPa -
Today Weather
Bamboo CreekNow39.4°cFeels Like: Wind:E 7km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity: 27°Min36°MaxToday in Bamboo CreekPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 25 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 37.Tomorrow27°Min36°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the N. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 34. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the NE, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 25 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 37.
Forecast for Bamboo Creek (21.509°S, 123.8505°E, 263m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 27° 25° 25° 25° 25° 24° 24° Maximum 36° 34° 35° 36° 34° 32° 32° Chance of rain 80% 90% 90% 80% 80% 90% 70% Likely amount 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)19
(km/h)30
(km/h)25
(km/h)34
(km/h)32
(km/h)34
(km/h)34
(km/h)33
(km/h)32
(km/h)27
(km/h)27
(km/h)29
(km/h)31
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ESE SE SSE SE ESE E E E ENE ENE ENE E ENE Relative humidity 51% 46% 71% 57% 71% 55% 69% 55% 70% 55% 77% 60% 77% 63% Dew point 20°C 21°C 23°C 23°C 23°C 23°C 23°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 22°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bamboo Creek Rain Forecast
Bamboo Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
MEDIUM30
MEDIUM31
LOWFeb 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bamboo Creek Rain Forecast
Bamboo Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec202167878887891010105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bamboo Creek Rain Forecast
Bamboo Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
MEDIUM30
MEDIUM31
LOWFeb 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
Bamboo Creek Observations History
We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Bamboo Creek
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Past 5 Days
Bamboo Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2423.8 °C 39.6 °C -Monday
Jan 2527.0 °C 39.8 °C -Tuesday
Jan 2626.3 °C 41.5 °C -Wednesday
Jan 2726.3 °C 41.9 °C -Thursday
Jan 2825.5 °C 41.0 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bamboo Creek minimum temp history (21.509°S, 123.8505°E, 263m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 46.1° 14/01/2021 Coldest this month 20.9° 23/01/2021 Hottest on record 48.1 10/01/2008 Coldest on record 17.2 11/01/1983 Hottest this year 46.1° 14/01/2021 Coldest this year 20.9° 23/01/2021 Long term average 40.4° Long term average 26.2° Average this month 40.2° Average this month 26.7° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 43.7° 2008 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 24.4° 2012 Bamboo Creek rainfall history (21.509°S, 123.8505°E, 263m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month mm Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 64.0mm 8.0 days Wettest January on record 382.4mm 2017 Driest on record 2.0mm 1996 -
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Year to Date
Bamboo Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 64.0mm 8.0 day(s) Total For 2021 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 119.8mm 9.0 day(s) Wettest Day 53.0mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature 20.9°C Jan23 Highest Temperature 46.1°C Jan14 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bamboo Creek Climatology
Bamboo Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 40.4 38.7 37.6 34.7 29.1 25.4 25.6 28.4 33.1 37.4 39.6 40.4 34.2 Mean Min (°C) 26.2 25.4 24.3 20.8 15.3 11.9 10.7 12.5 16.7 21.2 23.8 25.7 19.5 Mean Rain (mm) 64.0 96.8 69.4 18.1 19.5 13.0 11.5 4.8 2.0 3.0 15.0 47.1 360.9 Mean Rain Days 8.0 8.4 5.8 2.6 2.6 2.9 1.4 1.0 0.7 1.2 2.3 5.3 41.9