Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 10:00 AM WST on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, Pilbara Coast West, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Eucla Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, North Kimberley Coast, Pilbara Coast West, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast, Leeuwin Coast and Eucla Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 pm WST Wednesday.
================================================================================
Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
================================================================================
Forecast
Ashfield (31.9152°S, 115.9376°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY15° 27° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:09am WST 5:36am WST 7:21pm WST 7:48pm WST NOW22.5° Feels Like: 18.9° Relative Humidity: 57% Dew: 13.6° Wind: SW 24km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.7hPa -
Today Weather
AshfieldNow22.7°cFeels Like:21.2°Wind:S 15km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:59%15°Min27°MaxToday in AshfieldPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely near the coast in the morning. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h tending SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then turning SE 20 to 25 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow14°Min33°MaxSunny. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely near the coast in the morning. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h tending SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then turning SE 20 to 25 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Ashfield (31.9152°S, 115.9376°E, 6m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 15° 14° 17° 18° 21° 21° 20° Maximum 27° 33° 34° 35° 38° 39° 38° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)30
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)27
(km/h)25
(km/h)30
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)31
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW ESE S E SE E ESE E SW E SE E SE Relative humidity 58% 34% 49% 27% 47% 20% 39% 17% 30% 16% 35% 13% 30% 13% Dew point 13°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 7°C 10°C 6°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 5°C 9°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Ashfield Rain Forecast
Ashfield 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
LOW28
29
30
31
Feb 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
LOW9
LOW10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ashfield Rain Forecast
Ashfield 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021897664769376105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Ashfield Rain Forecast
Ashfield 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
LOW28
29
30
31
Feb 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
LOW9
LOW10
11
12
13
14
15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Past 5 Days
Ashfield Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2316.7 °C 28.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2414.1 °C 28.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2517.8 °C 27.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2615.2 °C 26.4 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2711.7 °C 23.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ashfield minimum temp history (31.9152°S, 115.9376°E, 6m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.5° 08/01/2021 Coldest this month 14.1° 24/01/2021 Hottest on record 46.0 31/01/1991 Coldest on record 6.0 08/01/1945 Hottest this year 41.5° 08/01/2021 Coldest this year 14.1° 24/01/2021 Long term average 31.7° Long term average 17.0° Average this month 33.5° Average this month 19.0° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.6° 1962 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.3° 1946 Ashfield rainfall history (31.9152°S, 115.9376°E, 6m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 26/01/2021 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 10.9mm 2.5 days Wettest January on record 102.4mm 2000 Driest on record 0.0mm 2010 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
-
Year to Date
Ashfield Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 10.9mm 2.5 day(s) Total For 2021 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 0.6mm 1.0 day(s) Wettest Day 0.0mm Jan26 Lowest Temperature 14.1°C Jan24 Highest Temperature 41.5°C Jan 8 -
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Ashfield Climatology
Ashfield Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.7 31.9 29.7 25.6 21.8 19.0 18.0 18.6 20.2 22.8 26.1 29.2 24.5 Mean Min (°C) 17.0 17.6 16.0 13.0 10.4 9.0 8.1 8.0 8.9 10.4 12.8 15.0 12.2 Mean Rain (mm) 10.9 15.0 16.2 39.7 97.6 155.1 154.2 118.7 72.3 42.6 26.3 11.1 760.4 Mean Rain Days 2.5 2.8 4.0 7.4 12.3 16.3 17.7 15.8 13.3 9.3 6.5 3.9 112.0