Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS
For people in parts of East Gippsland, South West, North East and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.
Issued at 10:04 pm Tuesday, 20 August 2019.
Strong and squally winds near the coast and about the eastern ranges.
Weather Situation:
A cold front embedded in a southwesterly airflow will pass across Tasmania and Bass Strait tonight, with another stronger front to follow Wednesday night.
DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 50 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of 90 to 100 km/h, are expected about exposed parts of the Gippsland coast, Strzelecki and Otway Ranges this evening, and also Alpine areas (above 1200m).
Whilst there will be some easing in wind strengths along parts of the coast Wednesday morning and early afternoon, there will be an increase again Wednesday evening with a more extensive area of damaging winds likely.
Locations which may be affected include Wonthaggi, Orbost, Mt Baw Baw, Falls Creek, Mt Hotham and Mt Buller.
Strongest wind gusts since midday Tuesday:
Wilsons Promontory 130km/h 03:53pm
Mt Gellibrand 93km/h 05:20pm
Mt Hotham 93km/h 07:08pm
Cape Otway 83km/h 03:28pm
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees;
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony;
* Keep clear of fallen power lines;
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Wednesday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Wheatsheaf (37.3137°S, 144.2261°E, 566m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
8° 13° Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:34am EST 7:00am EST 5:53pm EST 6:20pm EST NOW9.0° Feels Like: 1.9° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 9.0° Wind: W 35km/h Gust: W 35km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1018.4hPa -
Today Weather
WheatsheafNow9.7°cFeels Like:7.9°Wind:WNW 7km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:90%
8°Min13°MaxToday in WheatsheafPartly cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds W 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.Tomorrow
7°Min13°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers near the Yarra Valley, medium chance elsewhere, but clearing by midday. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 40 to 55 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 40 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 13. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
- for People in East Gippsland, West and South Gippsland and Parts of Central, South West, North Central and North East Forecast Districts
- Sheep Graziers Warning. Cold, wet and windy weather is expected, possibly leading to sheep losses in exposed areas.
- Flood Watch for Upper Yarra, Bunyip and South Gippsland Catchments
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds W 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.
Forecast for Wheatsheaf (37.3137°S, 144.2261°E, 566m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary 
Minimum 8° 7° 0° 5° 3° 5° 3° Maximum 13° 13° 13° 14° 13° 13° 14° Chance of rain 50% 5% 5% 40% 50% 50% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil High Slight Moderate Slight Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)24
(km/h)22
(km/h)20
(km/h)5
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW SW SW NW NNW NNE NW WNW WSW WSW SW SSW WSW Relative humidity 88% 65% 74% 57% 82% 65% 78% 68% 81% 70% 83% 67% 80% 62% Dew point 8°C 7°C 4°C 5°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Wheatsheaf Rain Forecast
Wheatsheaf 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT21
MEDIUM22
23
24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMSep 1
LOW2
MEDIUM3
LOW4
5
HIGH6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
MEDIUM18
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug20Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 August to 29 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 August to 29 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 31 August to 4 September, and 18 September to 22 September.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Wheatsheaf Rain Forecast
Wheatsheaf 12-month Rainfall ForecastAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul20192020565566655394105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Aug 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Wheatsheaf Rain Forecast
Wheatsheaf 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT21
MEDIUM22
23
24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMSep 1
LOW2
MEDIUM3
LOW4
5
HIGH6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
MEDIUM18
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug20Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 August to 29 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 August to 29 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 31 August to 4 September, and 18 September to 22 September.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Wheatsheaf Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Aug 166.2 °C 13.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Aug 17-1.0 °C 14.8 °C 1.0 mmSunday
Aug 182.0 °C 14.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Aug 192.5 °C 10.0 °C 9.0 mmTuesday
Aug 204.0 °C - 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Wheatsheaf minimum temp history (37.3137°S, 144.2261°E, 566m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 14.8° 17/08/2019 Coldest this month -1.0° 01/08/2019 Hottest on record 24.7 29/08/1982 Coldest on record -4.1 06/08/1974 Hottest this year 45.0° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -3.0° 23/06/2019 Long term average 13.2° Long term average 3.6° Average this month 11.7° Average this month 3.5° Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.2° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.3° 1994 Wheatsheaf rainfall history (37.3137°S, 144.2261°E, 566m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 16.0mm 08/08/2019 Total This Month 51.4mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 65.6mm 16.2 days Wettest August on record 139.4mm 1982 -
Popup - Radar
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Year to Date
Wheatsheaf Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Aug 392.3mm 85.2 day(s) Total For 2019 354.3mm 79.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 316.1mm 61.0 day(s) Wettest Day 35.0mm May 2 Lowest Temperature -3.0°C Jun23 Highest Temperature 45.0°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Wheatsheaf Climatology
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.0 28.2 24.7 20.1 15.8 12.6 11.7 13.2 15.7 19.2 22.7 25.5 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.0 13.3 11.0 7.7 5.5 3.5 2.9 3.6 5.0 6.7 9.2 11.0 7.7 Mean Rain (mm) 40.2 37.3 34.5 41.9 55.6 56.2 61.0 65.6 62.4 58.1 48.1 40.3 600.6 Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.1 6.5 8.0 12.0 14.2 17.1 16.2 13.4 11.2 8.7 7.4 123.9
