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Forecast

Western Heights (38.1391°S, 144.3292°E, 53m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 12° 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:21am EDT 5:53am EDT 8:38pm EDT 9:09pm EDT
    NOW
    15.5° Feels Like: 15.5°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 14.3°
    Wind: SSE 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Western Heights
    Now
    16.0°c
    Feels Like:
    14.6°
    Wind:
    WSW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    80%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Western Heights
    Slight chance of a light shower in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the southeast in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Western Heights

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Slight chance of a light shower in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the southeast in the early morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending S/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.

    Forecast for Western Heights (38.1391°S, 144.3292°E, 53m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 11° 11° 10° 12° 12° 12°
    Maximum 19° 21° 21° 21° 23° 21° 23°
    Chance of rain 20% 10% 20% 5% 40% 10% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW SSW SSW WSW SW WSW SW W W W SW WSW S
    Relative humidity 82% 56% 80% 58% 81% 55% 73% 52% 77% 53% 75% 52% 73% 52%
    Dew point 11°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Western Heights Rain Forecast


    Western Heights 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Western Heights Rain Forecast


    Western Heights 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    5
    6
    6
    5
    4
    7
    4
    3
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Western Heights Rain Forecast


    Western Heights 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 20 December to 24 December, and 27 December to 31 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 9 January to 13 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 6 January to 10 January, and 12 January to 16 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Western Heights Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    10.8 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    11.7 °C 20.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 07
    8.3 °C 22.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08
    11.2 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09
    12.3 °C 39 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Western Heights minimum temp history (38.1391°S, 144.3292°E, 53m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.0° 08/12/2019 Coldest this month 7.9° 02/12/2019
    Hottest on record 45.0 19/12/2015 Coldest on record 4.8 02/12/1995
    Hottest this year 45.8° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.5° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 24.4° Long term average 11.8°
    Average this month 21.8° Average this month 10.3°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.1° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.8° 1996
    Western Heights rainfall history (38.1391°S, 144.3292°E, 53m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 5.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 28.8mm 6.8 days Wettest December on record 61.8mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Western Heights Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 442.5mm 102.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 378.2mm 136.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 322.2mm 110.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 36.6mm Jun 3
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 45.8°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Western Heights Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 26.3 24.3 20.5 17.4 14.7 14.1 15.5 17.7 20.2 22.3 24.4 20.3
    Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.5 12.6 9.7 7.6 5.8 5.2 5.5 6.7 8.0 10.5 11.8 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.5 31.5 25.7 37.5 34.8 38.5 38.2 41.8 45.3 45.5 45.4 28.8 443.7
    Mean Rain Days 4.7 4.2 5.4 7.5 9.6 10.8 12.2 11.9 11.4 9.8 8.0 6.8 96.2