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Forecast

Waurn Ponds (38.2142°S, 144.2923°E, 74m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 13°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:29am EST 6:56am EST 5:55pm EST 6:21pm EST
    NOW
    7.3° Feels Like: 4.3°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 6.4°
    Wind: NW 11km/h
    Gust: NW 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Waurn Ponds
    Now
    8.3°c
    Feels Like:
    3.8°
    Wind:
    WNW 19km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Waurn Ponds
    Partly cloudy. Patches of light morning frost about the ranges. High chance of showers in the southeast, medium chance elsewhere and falling as snow above 1000 metres. Possible hail in the southeast early this morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 13.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of frost and the chance of fog about the ranges in the morning. Medium chance of showers in the south, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patches of light morning frost about the ranges. High chance of showers in the southeast, medium chance elsewhere and falling as snow above 1000 metres. Possible hail in the southeast early this morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 13.

    Forecast for Waurn Ponds (38.2142°S, 144.2923°E, 74m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Showers Possible shower Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 15° 16° 13° 12° 14° 18°
    Chance of rain 30% 40% 10% 60% 30% 5% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Nil Slight Moderate Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW WNW WSW WNW W NW WSW SSW S ESE SE NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 84% 63% 90% 64% 93% 61% 84% 75% 79% 63% 85% 64% 87% 58%
    Dew point 6°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Waurn Ponds Rain Forecast


    Waurn Ponds 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    HIGH
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 August to 3 September, 8 September to 12 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Waurn Ponds Rain Forecast


    Waurn Ponds 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    5
    5
    3
    9
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Waurn Ponds Rain Forecast


    Waurn Ponds 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    HIGH
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 August to 3 September, 8 September to 12 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Waurn Ponds Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    6.2 °C 14.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    10.9 °C 15.7 °C
    2.4 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    8.9 °C 13.4 °C
    1.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    2.6 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    6.4 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Waurn Ponds minimum temp history (38.2142°S, 144.2923°E, 74m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 17.7° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month 0.6° 23/08/2019
    Hottest on record 25.9 27/08/2007 Coldest on record -4.4 05/08/1997
    Hottest this year 45.8° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.5° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 15.5° Long term average 5.5°
    Average this month 14.1° Average this month 6.2°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.2° 1995
    Waurn Ponds rainfall history (38.2142°S, 144.2923°E, 74m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.8mm 08/08/2019 Total This Month 43.6mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.8mm 11.9 days Wettest August on record 69.0mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Waurn Ponds Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 277.5mm 66.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 276.0mm 82.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 218.4mm 76.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 36.6mm Jun 3
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 45.8°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Waurn Ponds Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 26.3 24.3 20.5 17.4 14.7 14.1 15.5 17.7 20.2 22.3 24.4 20.3
    Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.5 12.6 9.7 7.6 5.8 5.2 5.5 6.7 8.0 10.5 11.8 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.5 31.5 25.7 37.5 34.8 38.5 38.2 41.8 45.3 45.5 45.4 28.8 443.7
    Mean Rain Days 4.7 4.2 5.4 7.5 9.6 10.8 12.2 11.9 11.4 9.8 8.0 6.8 96.2