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Forecast

Watchupga (35.7581°S, 142.7085°E, 79m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 18° 35°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:09am EDT 6:38am EDT 8:46pm EDT 9:15pm EDT
    NOW
    32.6° Feels Like: 24.3°
    Relative Humidity: 18%
    Dew: 5.2°
    Wind: NNW 37km/h
    Gust: 44km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Watchupga
    Now
    31.7°c
    Feels Like:
    22.7°
    Wind:
    NNW 41km/h
    Gusts:
    54km/h
    Humidity:
    20%
    Late shower
     
    18°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Watchupga
    Mostly sunny morning. Areas of raised dust during this afternoon and evening. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds during this afternoon and early evening. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h increasing to 50 km/h before shifting SW 30 to 45 km/h in the late afternoon, then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    13°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the east in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW 20 to 30 km/h before dawn then tending W 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny morning. Areas of raised dust during this afternoon and evening. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds during this afternoon and early evening. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h increasing to 50 km/h before shifting SW 30 to 45 km/h in the late afternoon, then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.

    Forecast for Watchupga (35.7581°S, 142.7085°E, 79m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Late shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 18° 13° 11° 14° 15° 14°
    Maximum 35° 23° 26° 29° 33° 35° 28°
    Chance of rain 80% 30% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 30
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE N NW W W W SW WSW SSW WSW SSW W SW WSW
    Relative humidity 33% 19% 65% 35% 60% 33% 67% 33% 67% 30% 62% 23% 63% 31%
    Dew point 8°C 7°C 11°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 11°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 10°C 12°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Watchupga Rain Forecast


    Watchupga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Watchupga Rain Forecast


    Watchupga 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    5
    6
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Watchupga Rain Forecast


    Watchupga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Watchupga Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    10.0 °C 30.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    11.9 °C 31.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    13.3 °C 28.2 °C
    0.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    8.4 °C 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    14.8 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Watchupga minimum temp history (35.7581°S, 142.7085°E, 79m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.6° 14/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.4° 21/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.8 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 5.6 05/01/2014
    Hottest this year 40.6° 14/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.4° 21/01/2020
    Long term average 33.0° Long term average 15.4°
    Average this month 31.5° Average this month 13.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.1° 2009 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.9° 2010
    Watchupga rainfall history (35.7581°S, 142.7085°E, 79m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.8mm 06/01/2020 Total This Month 7.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 35.3mm 5.3 days Wettest January on record 151.6mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Watchupga Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 35.3mm 5.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 7.8mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 6.8mm Jan 6
    Lowest Temperature 8.4°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Watchupga Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.0 28.9 23.8 18.9 15.3 14.7 16.9 20.2 24.8 28.3 30.6 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 14.8 12.7 9.0 6.1 4.2 3.3 3.5 5.0 7.4 11.0 13.0 8.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 35.3 17.5 14.8 22.6 27.5 24.9 27.0 23.7 29.8 23.8 28.2 26.3 301.3
    Mean Rain Days 5.3 4.2 4.7 6.1 9.6 12.3 16.1 12.7 9.8 6.8 7.1 5.8 93.3