Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Frost Warning
for Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts
Issued at 04:47 PM EST on Wednesday 01 May 2024
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Please be aware
Temperatures at ground level can be many degrees lower than those recorded
by standard weather stations, especially in calm conditions with very clear skies.
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Frost Warning for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts
Frosts with temperatures down to -1 degrees are forecast for Thursday morning in parts of the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Watchbox Gully (37.1523°S, 144.4802°E, 423m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY5° 16° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:37am EST 7:04am EST 5:35pm EST 6:02pm EST NOW6.9° Feels Like: 4.4° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 5.2° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Watchbox GullyNow7.7°cFeels Like:4.4°Wind:S 13km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:93%5°Min16°MaxToday in Watchbox GullyMostly sunny. Areas of morning fog in the E. The chance of morning frost in the E. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 19.Tomorrow3°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog in the E. The chance of morning frost in the E. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 19.
Forecast for Watchbox Gully (37.1523°S, 144.4802°E, 423m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 5° 3° 4° 4° 5° 4° 5° Maximum 16° 17° 17° 16° 17° 17° 17° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 50% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Slight Moderate Slight Slight Slight Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)5
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)9
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction SSE E E ENE SSE S S S SSE SE NNE NNE ESE E Relative humidity 81% 50% 76% 46% 69% 46% 76% 54% 79% 54% 70% 52% 74% 62% Dew point 6°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 4°C 7°C 7°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Watchbox Gully Rain Forecast
Watchbox Gully 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025575565106876105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Watchbox Gully Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 271.1 °C 18.0 °C -Sunday
Apr 283.3 °C 21.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 294.7 °C 18.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 305.7 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
May 014.1 °C 19.2 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Watchbox Gully minimum temp history (37.1523°S, 144.4802°E, 423m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.2° 01/05/2024 Coldest this month 4.1° 01/05/2024 Hottest on record 25.9 07/05/2002 Coldest on record -2.2 16/05/1999 Hottest this year 38.4° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.1° 27/04/2024 Long term average 16.1° Long term average 5.1° Average this month 19.2° Average this month 4.1° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.0° 2005 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 2012 Watchbox Gully rainfall history (37.1523°S, 144.4802°E, 423m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/05/2024 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 55.1mm 10.4 days Wettest May on record 157.9mm 1956 Driest on record 0.0mm 1941 -
Year to Date
Watchbox Gully Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 202.5mm 29.9 day(s) Total For 2024 255.8mm 22.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 128.0mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 117.2mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 1.1°C Apr27 Highest Temperature 38.4°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Watchbox Gully Climatology
Watchbox Gully Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.9 29.1 25.7 20.8 16.1 13.0 12.2 13.7 16.6 19.9 24.0 27.1 20.7 Mean Min (°C) 13.3 13.1 10.9 7.4 5.1 3.8 3.0 3.1 4.2 5.7 8.7 10.3 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 35.5 35.6 34.4 41.9 55.1 68.1 65.5 60.8 53.8 53.4 41.9 37.6 579.1 Mean Rain Days 4.3 3.8 4.9 6.5 10.4 12.5 14.6 13.4 10.7 9.3 6.9 5.7 103.6