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Forecast

Warrenheip (37.5749°S, 143.9257°E, 525m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 24°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:04am EDT 6:33am EDT 8:42pm EDT 9:11pm EDT
    NOW
    25.0° Feels Like: 21.9°
    Relative Humidity: 33%
    Dew: 7.6°
    Wind: SSW 13km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Warrenheip
    Now
    21.3°c
    Feels Like:
    18.5°
    Wind:
    W 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    50%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Warrenheip
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S/SE in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    10°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Patchy fog in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Warrenheip

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S/SE in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 26.

    Forecast for Warrenheip (37.5749°S, 143.9257°E, 525m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 10° 11° 15° 21° 20° 10°
    Maximum 24° 26° 31° 37° 38° 29° 19°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 50% 70% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW WSW SSW SW NNW WSW NNE N NNE N NNW NW WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 75% 40% 74% 40% 70% 22% 44% 17% 39% 28% 77% 71% 86% 54%
    Dew point 12°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 6°C 10°C 7°C 13°C 17°C 21°C 22°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Warrenheip Rain Forecast


    Warrenheip 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Warrenheip Rain Forecast


    Warrenheip 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    6
    8
    5
    3
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Warrenheip Rain Forecast


    Warrenheip 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Warrenheip Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    10.2 °C 18.7 °C
    22.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    5.9 °C 20.5 °C
    0.8 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    8.3 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    11.4 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    9.9 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Warrenheip minimum temp history (37.5749°S, 143.9257°E, 525m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.1° 15/01/2020 Coldest this month 5.9° 24/01/2020
    Hottest on record 42.0 25/01/2003 Coldest on record 0.7 03/01/2009
    Hottest this year 35.1° 15/01/2020 Coldest this year 5.9° 24/01/2020
    Long term average 25.5° Long term average 11.2°
    Average this month 25.1° Average this month 11.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.1° 1981 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 7.3° 1987
    Warrenheip rainfall history (37.5749°S, 143.9257°E, 525m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.0mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 70.0mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 39.5mm 7.6 days Wettest January on record 206.0mm 1981
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Warrenheip Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 39.5mm 7.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 70.0mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 3.8mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.0mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 5.9°C Jan24
    Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Warrenheip Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.5 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.2 11.6 13.8 16.8 19.8 22.8 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.2 11.6 10.1 7.4 5.6 3.9 3.0 3.5 4.6 6.1 7.9 9.5 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.5 44.1 41.9 51.3 63.8 62.7 66.6 74.0 72.1 66.5 55.5 49.9 687.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 7.2 9.4 12.5 16.4 18.2 20.1 19.6 16.8 15.4 12.7 10.9 165.6