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Forecast

Wangrabelle (37.3559°S, 149.4789°E, 195m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible thunderstorm 16° 23°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:33am EDT 6:02am EDT 8:22pm EDT 8:52pm EDT
    NOW
    17.0° Feels Like: 17.0°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 14.3°
    Wind: WNW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 19.6mm
    Pressure: 1002.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Wangrabelle
    Now
    17.5°c
    Feels Like:
    19.4°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    16°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Wangrabelle
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the morning. Areas of smoke haze about the ranges. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    16°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the morning. Areas of smoke haze about the ranges. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 24.

    Forecast for Wangrabelle (37.3559°S, 149.4789°E, 195m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 15° 19° 15° 16° 18° 16°
    Maximum 23° 30° 27° 26° 29° 30° 25°
    Chance of rain 80% 10% 40% 10% 5% 10% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SW NNE NE W SSW WNW SSW N ESE NW S WSW ESE
    Relative humidity 85% 76% 73% 61% 62% 75% 65% 63% 66% 64% 71% 68% 71% 69%
    Dew point 16°C 18°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 18°C 14°C 17°C 17°C 21°C 20°C 22°C 15°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Wangrabelle Rain Forecast


    Wangrabelle 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Wangrabelle Rain Forecast


    Wangrabelle 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    9
    3
    5
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Wangrabelle Rain Forecast


    Wangrabelle 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 January to 2 February, 5 February to 9 February, and 9 February to 13 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 January to 22 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, and 11 February to 15 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Wangrabelle Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Jan 17
    - -
    -
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    - 21.3 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    17.6 °C 23.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    19.0 °C 23 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Wangrabelle minimum temp history (37.3559°S, 149.4789°E, 195m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.3° 10/01/2020 Coldest this month 11.2° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 42.0 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 6.8 09/01/1994
    Hottest this year 32.3° 10/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.2° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 24.2° Long term average 15.6°
    Average this month 22.8° Average this month 15.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 2006 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.6° 1994
    Wangrabelle rainfall history (37.3559°S, 149.4789°E, 195m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.0mm 11/01/2020 Total This Month 2.6mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.6mm 7.9 days Wettest January on record 273.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Wangrabelle Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 62.6mm 7.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 2.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 23.6mm 6.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 2.0mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 11.2°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 32.3°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Wangrabelle Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.9 22.5 20.0 17.6 15.4 14.9 15.8 17.5 19.1 20.7 22.2 19.5
    Mean Min (°C) 15.6 15.7 14.2 11.7 9.3 7.3 6.3 6.4 8.3 9.9 12.1 13.6 10.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.6 64.4 72.5 94.8 79.4 100.8 79.4 66.3 80.6 75.1 87.3 73.2 935.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.9 8.0 9.0 10.5 11.6 13.6 12.2 11.8 12.4 11.4 10.6 9.0 120.2