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Forecast

Waggarandall (36.255°S, 145.8°E, 133m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 17° 33°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:18am EDT 8:34pm EDT 9:04pm EDT
    NOW
    22.8° Feels Like: 21.1°
    Relative Humidity: 57%
    Dew: 13.8°
    Wind: NNE 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Waggarandall
    Now
    21.6°c
    Feels Like:
    19.4°
    Wind:
    NE 17km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    17°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Waggarandall
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm in the east. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    18°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening with possible heavy falls. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Waggarandall

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm in the east. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.

    Forecast for Waggarandall (36.255°S, 145.8°E, 133m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 18° 16° 13° 14° 15° 11°
    Maximum 33° 28° 26° 27° 35° 26° 28°
    Chance of rain 40% 60% 80% 40% 50% 60% 20%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNE ENE NE ESE NNE WSW W NE N WNW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 55% 30% 55% 36% 75% 66% 75% 45% 50% 20% 58% 40% 53% 34%
    Dew point 14°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 17°C 19°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Waggarandall Rain Forecast


    Waggarandall 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Waggarandall Rain Forecast


    Waggarandall 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    8
    4
    1
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Waggarandall Rain Forecast


    Waggarandall 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Waggarandall Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 13
    17.1 °C 33.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    18.1 °C 37.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    23.3 °C 33.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    17.7 °C 32.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    10.8 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Waggarandall minimum temp history (36.255°S, 145.8°E, 133m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 10.6° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.7 05/01/2013 Coldest on record 4.4 22/01/1994
    Hottest this year 44.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.6° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 32.7° Long term average 15.9°
    Average this month 33.6° Average this month 15.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.7° 2006 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.8° 1994
    Waggarandall rainfall history (36.255°S, 145.8°E, 133m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.4mm 07/01/2020 Total This Month 1.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.8mm 5.0 days Wettest January on record 152.9mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Waggarandall Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 34.8mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1.8mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1.4mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 1.4mm Jan 7
    Lowest Temperature 10.6°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 44.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Waggarandall Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.7 31.6 27.9 22.9 18.1 14.6 13.5 15.3 18.5 22.7 27.2 30.1 22.9
    Mean Min (°C) 15.9 15.8 12.9 9.0 6.1 4.2 3.6 3.7 5.2 7.3 11.1 13.3 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 34.8 47.4 36.1 32.6 36.5 43.4 48.5 40.4 46.7 35.8 45.7 39.7 487.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.0 5.6 4.8 6.3 10.0 14.2 17.0 13.6 10.3 8.0 7.6 6.1 103.7