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Forecast

Tyntynder South (35.2643°S, 143.5192°E, 73m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloud increasing 13° 26°
    cloud increasing
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:36am EDT 7:02am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:43pm EDT
    NOW
    14.5° Feels Like: 8.5°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 9.5°
    Wind: SW 30km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tyntynder South
    Now
    14.9°c
    Feels Like:
    10.6°
    Wind:
    SW 24km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Cloud increasing
     
    13°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Tyntynder South
    Partly cloudy. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 35 km/h before turning S 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    10°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tyntynder South

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 35 km/h before turning S 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Tyntynder South (35.2643°S, 143.5192°E, 73m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Cloud increasing Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 10° 11° 12° 17° 19°
    Maximum 26° 27° 27° 29° 35° 39° 38°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW S SSW E N NNE NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 62% 29% 61% 24% 61% 25% 58% 18% 53% 18% 45% 23% 45% 18%
    Dew point 10°C 6°C 7°C 4°C 8°C 4°C 6°C 1°C 10°C 6°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tyntynder South Rain Forecast


    Tyntynder South 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tyntynder South Rain Forecast


    Tyntynder South 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    9
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    5
    5
    6
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tyntynder South Rain Forecast


    Tyntynder South 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tyntynder South Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Feb 14
    23.6 °C 37.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 15
    19.2 °C 33.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    14.0 °C 32.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    16.5 °C 34.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    18.1 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tyntynder South minimum temp history (35.2643°S, 143.5192°E, 73m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.0° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 9.6° 04/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.9 07/02/2009 Coldest on record 5.5 20/02/2017
    Hottest this year 45.4° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.8° 24/01/2020
    Long term average 32.4° Long term average 16.0°
    Average this month 32.5° Average this month 17.5°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.2° 1997 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 12.9° 2005
    Tyntynder South rainfall history (35.2643°S, 143.5192°E, 73m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.4mm 08/02/2020 Total This Month 25.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 22.1mm 3.6 days Wettest February on record 69.2mm 2005
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Tyntynder South Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 49.1mm 7.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 38.2mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 15.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 9.4mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 7.8°C Jan24
    Highest Temperature 45.4°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tyntynder South Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.4 28.6 23.8 18.8 15.3 14.6 16.8 20.3 24.2 28.2 30.6 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 16.1 16.0 12.9 9.1 6.3 4.4 3.6 4.0 5.9 7.9 11.6 13.7 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.0 22.1 17.5 22.1 25.6 25.3 28.1 27.3 29.5 21.9 42.5 22.0 310.3
    Mean Rain Days 3.9 3.6 3.5 4.7 7.8 10.4 12.9 10.3 8.0 6.3 6.5 4.8 76.4