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Forecast

Tullamarine Airport (37.677°S, 144.8349°E, 102m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 13° 29°
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:48am EDT 6:18am EDT 8:43pm EDT 9:13pm EDT
    NOW
    18.0° Feels Like: 17.7°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 12.7°
    Wind: W 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tullamarine Airport
    Now
    18.6°c
    Feels Like:
    19.7°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    72%
    Hazy
     
    13°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Tullamarine Airport
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm over the outer northern and eastern suburbs in the afternoon and early evening. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NE/SE 25 to 40 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    15°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Humid. Areas of smoke haze. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening and the chance of thunderstorms. Possible heavy falls with storms. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW in the early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm over the outer northern and eastern suburbs in the afternoon and early evening. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NE/SE 25 to 40 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late evening.

    Forecast for Tullamarine Airport (37.677°S, 144.8349°E, 102m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Hazy Possible thunderstorm Thunderstorms Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 15° 16° 14° 14° 14° 13°
    Maximum 29° 29° 22° 24° 32° 23° 24°
    Chance of rain 40% 90% 90% 50% 80% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE NNE ESE SSW S SW SSW NNE N NNW NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 73% 36% 70% 47% 86% 79% 82% 61% 58% 38% 65% 45% 66% 45%
    Dew point 13°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 18°C 13°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tullamarine Airport Rain Forecast


    Tullamarine Airport 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tullamarine Airport Rain Forecast


    Tullamarine Airport 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    7
    7
    7
    5
    6
    5
    8
    5
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tullamarine Airport Rain Forecast


    Tullamarine Airport 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tullamarine Airport Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    16.2 °C 33.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    18.8 °C 38.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    14.9 °C 19.6 °C
    31.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    11.6 °C 25 °C
    0.8 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    12 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tullamarine Airport minimum temp history (37.677°S, 144.8349°E, 102m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.3° 15/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.3° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.6 25/01/2003 Coldest on record 6.0 27/01/1980
    Hottest this year 38.3° 15/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.3° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 13.8°
    Average this month 26.9° Average this month 13.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.7° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.0° 1987
    Tullamarine Airport rainfall history (37.677°S, 144.8349°E, 102m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 31.2mm 16/01/2020 Total This Month 57.8mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 39.9mm 8.4 days Wettest January on record 101.6mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Tullamarine Airport Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 39.9mm 8.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 57.8mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1.2mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.2mm Jan16
    Lowest Temperature 9.3°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 38.3°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tullamarine Airport Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 26.6 24.2 20.3 16.7 13.7 13.1 14.4 16.7 19.4 22.0 24.6 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 13.8 14.1 12.7 10.2 8.3 6.2 5.4 5.9 7.1 8.5 10.4 12.0 9.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.9 42.6 36.9 44.5 39.0 40.1 36.3 44.4 47.6 53.7 61.4 48.9 535.5
    Mean Rain Days 8.4 7.0 9.1 10.5 13.4 14.7 14.7 15.7 14.2 13.4 11.5 9.5 139.0