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Forecast

Toora North (38.5889°S, 146.3328°E, 264m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 27°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:18am EDT 8:34pm EDT 9:04pm EDT
    NOW
    10.7° Feels Like: 10.5°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 9.1°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Toora North
    Now
    9.4°c
    Feels Like:
    8.9°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    91%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Toora North
    The chance of fog early this morning. A mostly sunny morning with cloud increasing during the afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    13°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Patchy fog in the early morning. Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of fog early this morning. A mostly sunny morning with cloud increasing during the afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to high 20s.

    Forecast for Toora North (38.5889°S, 146.3328°E, 264m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 13° 14° 12° 12° 13° 18°
    Maximum 27° 28° 27° 25° 27° 35° 41°
    Chance of rain 5% 20% 30% 10% 5% 5% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W W WSW E WSW W WSW W WSW NNE W NE N
    Relative humidity 75% 45% 80% 49% 86% 50% 82% 49% 84% 44% 74% 27% 59% 25%
    Dew point 12°C 14°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 16°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Toora North Rain Forecast


    Toora North 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Toora North Rain Forecast


    Toora North 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    4
    3
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Toora North Rain Forecast


    Toora North 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Toora North Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    16.9 °C 20.2 °C
    3.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    14.6 °C 19.7 °C
    0.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    9.8 °C 29.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    12.7 °C 21.2 °C
    27.4 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    11.0 °C 21 °C
    3.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Toora North minimum temp history (38.5889°S, 146.3328°E, 264m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.9° 10/01/2020 Coldest this month 5.4° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.1 30/01/2009 Coldest on record 1.8 03/01/2009
    Hottest this year 36.9° 10/01/2020 Coldest this year 5.4° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 12.8°
    Average this month 25.3° Average this month 12.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 2009 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 10.5° 1992
    Toora North rainfall history (38.5889°S, 146.3328°E, 264m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.4mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 80.0mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 48.8mm 9.4 days Wettest January on record 200.0mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Toora North Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 48.8mm 9.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 80.0mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 3.6mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.4mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 5.4°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 36.9°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Toora North Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.6 24.5 20.5 16.9 14.2 13.6 14.9 17.0 19.6 22.0 24.3 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.8 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.5 4.5 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.4 9.5 11.2 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 46.0 48.5 57.7 54.1 63.9 65.3 65.4 74.2 72.3 74.4 66.5 735.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.6 14.3 17.7 20.1 21.1 19.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 12.3 177.6