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Forecast

Toolamba East (36.4149°S, 145.1787°E, 104m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 12° 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:56am EDT 7:22am EDT 7:30pm EDT 7:56pm EDT
    NOW
    22.7° Feels Like: 21.6°
    Relative Humidity: 56%
    Dew: 13.7°
    Wind: W 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 10.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Toolamba East
    Now
    22.8°c
    Feels Like:
    22.2°
    Wind:
    SW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Toolamba East
    Sunny. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h turning S in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h tending SE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h turning S in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.

    Forecast for Toolamba East (36.4149°S, 145.1787°E, 104m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 11° 10° 10°
    Maximum 19° 23° 25° 25° 23° 24° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW S E ENE NNW S SSW SW WSW WSW W SSW SW
    Relative humidity 60% 32% 65% 34% 73% 38% 73% 35% 79% 33% 82% 39% 76% 37%
    Dew point 6°C 1°C 5°C 5°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 5°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Toolamba East Rain Forecast


    Toolamba East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Toolamba East Rain Forecast


    Toolamba East 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    5
    5
    5
    7
    6
    6
    6
    5
    7
    6
    9
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Toolamba East Rain Forecast


    Toolamba East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Toolamba East Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    14.4 °C 29.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    16.1 °C 27.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    14.3 °C 28.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    14.2 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    16.7 °C 30.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Toolamba East minimum temp history (36.4149°S, 145.1787°E, 104m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.9° 09/03/2024 Coldest this month 9.5° 05/03/2024
    Hottest on record 39.6 12/03/1998 Coldest on record 3.3 30/03/1965
    Hottest this year 38.5° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 9.5° 05/03/2024
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 12.0°
    Average this month 30.5° Average this month 15.0°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.5° 2017 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 9.3° 1970
    Toolamba East rainfall history (36.4149°S, 145.1787°E, 104m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 14/03/2024 Total This Month 0.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.6mm 5.3 days Wettest March on record 184.2mm 1950
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2003
  15. Year to Date

    Toolamba East Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 101.3mm 14.3 day(s)
    Total For 2024 155.0mm 17.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 52.4mm 12.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.2mm Jan 3
    Lowest Temperature 9.5°C Mar 5
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Feb 4
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Toolamba East Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 29.5 26.4 21.7 17.2 13.9 13.1 14.7 17.5 21.2 24.9 27.7 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 12.0 8.4 5.7 3.7 3.0 3.9 5.4 7.6 10.4 12.4 8.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 35.0 31.7 34.6 35.8 44.1 45.4 46.6 46.7 42.2 47.0 39.8 35.2 482.1
    Mean Rain Days 4.8 4.2 5.3 6.9 10.9 13.1 14.8 13.0 10.6 9.5 7.5 6.1 106.4