Forecast
Tintaldra (36.049°S, 147.931°E, 235m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 28° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:14am EDT 5:44am EDT 8:15pm EDT 8:45pm EDT NOW10.8° Feels Like: 10.0° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 6.6° Wind: CAL 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.5hPa -
Today Weather
TintaldraNow13.5°cFeels Like:10.5°Wind:W 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:61%6°Min28°MaxToday in TintaldraSunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 28.Tomorrow8°Min31°MaxSunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Tintaldra
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 28.
Forecast for Tintaldra (36.049°S, 147.931°E, 235m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 6° 8° 10° 14° 13° 12° 10° Maximum 28° 31° 35° 35° 33° 29° 27° Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 5% 40% 10% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 3
(km/h)10
(km/h)2
(km/h)4
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)14
(km/h)2
(km/h)11
(km/h)3
(km/h)12
(km/h)5
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction NNE W ENE W ENE NNW NNE WNW NNW WNW NNW WNW W W Relative humidity 53% 28% 54% 27% 54% 24% 45% 21% 51% 22% 57% 29% 53% 27% Dew point 7°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 9°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Tintaldra Rain Forecast
Tintaldra 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT7
8
9
10
11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
24
LOW25
26
27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tintaldra Rain Forecast
Tintaldra 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020356654754446105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Tintaldra Rain Forecast
Tintaldra 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT7
8
9
10
11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
24
LOW25
26
27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
MEDIUM31
Jan 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Tintaldra Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 027.6 °C 16.3 °C 13.8 mmTuesday
Dec 038.2 °C 15.9 °C 0.8 mmWednesday
Dec 044.8 °C 22.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 055.1 °C 27.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 067.4 °C 26 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tintaldra minimum temp history (36.049°S, 147.931°E, 235m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 28.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 2.5° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 40.7 20/12/2015 Coldest on record 2.2 26/12/2006 Hottest this year 41.6° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -3.8° 23/06/2019 Long term average 28.3° Long term average 11.2° Average this month 20.3° Average this month 5.9° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.7° 1997 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.5° 2001 Tintaldra rainfall history (36.049°S, 147.931°E, 235m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 13.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 14.6mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 75.3mm 9.7 days Wettest December on record 186.4mm 1997 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
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Year to Date
Tintaldra Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 928.9mm 149.6 day(s) Total For 2019 796.0mm 153.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 750.8mm 137.0 day(s) Wettest Day 68.0mm May 3 Lowest Temperature -3.8°C Jun23 Highest Temperature 41.6°C Jan16 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Tintaldra Climatology
Tintaldra Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.6 30.5 27.2 21.6 16.0 12.3 11.6 13.7 17.2 20.8 25.3 28.3 21.4 Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.5 10.7 7.1 4.2 2.2 1.8 2.5 4.6 6.4 9.5 11.2 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 51.6 66.1 60.0 60.0 65.2 96.3 96.3 107.2 91.4 71.3 88.2 75.3 926.3 Mean Rain Days 7.2 8.0 8.3 8.8 14.2 19.2 19.9 17.8 14.4 11.4 10.7 9.7 142.9