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Forecast

Timboon West (38.5052°S, 142.9144°E, 62m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 10° 17°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:29am EDT 6:00am EDT 8:42pm EDT 9:13pm EDT
    NOW
    11.0° Feels Like: 8.5°
    Relative Humidity: 93%
    Dew: 9.9°
    Wind: WNW 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure: 1010.7hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Timboon West
    Now
    10.9°c
    Feels Like:
    7.2°
    Wind:
    W 17km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Possible shower
     
    10°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Timboon West
    Cloudy. Medium chance of light showers in the south, becoming less likely in the early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 25 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    9°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the west in the early morning. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 24.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of light showers in the south, becoming less likely in the early afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 25 km/h turning SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 21.

    Forecast for Timboon West (38.5052°S, 142.9144°E, 62m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 9° 9° 15° 12° 10° 10°
    Maximum 17° 18° 25° 29° 17° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 40% 10% 5% 30% 30% 30% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)     		34
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		33
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW WSW WSW ENE ESE NNE WNW WSW SW SSW SSW WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 84% 69% 79% 66% 82% 48% 49% 49% 89% 71% 84% 68% 83% 65%
    Dew point 11°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 15°C 13°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 10°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Timboon West Rain Forecast

    Timboon West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Timboon West Rain Forecast

    Timboon West 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    5
    9
    6
    5
    5
    6
    7
    5
    5
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Timboon West Rain Forecast

    Timboon West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Timboon West Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Dec 01     		7.8 °C 14.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Monday
    Dec 02     		7.2 °C 14.0 °C
    9.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03     		8.5 °C 17.1 °C
    2.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04     		9.5 °C 17.8 °C
    3.4 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05     		11.9 °C 18 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Timboon West minimum temp history (38.5052°S, 142.9144°E, 62m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.0° 04/12/2019 Coldest this month 7.2° 02/12/2019
    Hottest on record 43.0 19/12/2015 Coldest on record 1.3 07/12/2006
    Hottest this year 44.3° 24/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.9° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 22.7° Long term average 10.1°
    Average this month 15.8° Average this month 9.0°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 2001
    Timboon West rainfall history (38.5052°S, 142.9144°E, 62m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.4mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 16.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.2mm 12.1 days Wettest December on record 120.4mm 2015

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Timboon West Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 739.8mm 193.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 719.4mm 182.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 631.2mm 177.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 29.8mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -1.9°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 44.3°C Jan24

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Timboon West Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 24.8 23.2 20.0 16.5 14.1 13.5 14.4 16.1 18.1 20.4 22.7 19.1
    Mean Min (°C) 11.8 12.4 10.9 8.9 7.4 5.9 5.6 5.9 6.8 7.3 9.0 10.1 8.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.3 31.7 49.7 54.5 71.2 80.6 86.1 94.1 72.6 63.6 51.2 47.2 735.4
    Mean Rain Days 9.1 8.7 12.8 15.3 20.5 20.2 21.9 21.7 19.7 18.2 13.7 12.1 180.0

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