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Forecast

Thowgla Valley (36.27°S, 147.928°E, 373m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 11° 33°
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:45am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:25pm EDT 8:54pm EDT
    NOW
    31.4° Feels Like: 26.8°
    Relative Humidity: 22%
    Dew: 7.1°
    Wind: N 20km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1004.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Thowgla Valley
    Now
    26.4°c
    Feels Like:
    24.1°
    Wind:
    NNW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    27%
    Hazy
     
    11°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Thowgla Valley
    Sunny morning. Areas of haze near the New South Wales border. Slight chance of a shower this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds during this afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening then tending NW/NE in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the early morning. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending W/NW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 25.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny morning. Areas of haze near the New South Wales border. Slight chance of a shower this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm late this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds during this afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening then tending NW/NE in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 34.

    Forecast for Thowgla Valley (36.27°S, 147.928°E, 373m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Hazy Showers Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 17° 10° 11° 12° 12°
    Maximum 33° 27° 27° 31° 34° 33° 31°
    Chance of rain 50% 80% 5% 5% 5% 30% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N NW NW NW WNW SSW NW ESE NW NNE NW NNW WNW
    Relative humidity 69% 27% 60% 62% 62% 30% 60% 30% 61% 29% 65% 30% 62% 34%
    Dew point 14°C 11°C 19°C 16°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 13°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thowgla Valley Rain Forecast


    Thowgla Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thowgla Valley Rain Forecast


    Thowgla Valley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    8
    6
    8
    4
    2
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thowgla Valley Rain Forecast


    Thowgla Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thowgla Valley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    13.9 °C 33.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    15.4 °C 32.8 °C
    6.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    14.6 °C 22.9 °C
    9.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    14.5 °C 26.1 °C
    19.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    12.9 °C 33 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Thowgla Valley minimum temp history (36.27°S, 147.928°E, 373m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.3° 16/01/2020 Coldest this month 13.0° 22/01/2020
    Hottest on record 43.1 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 4.0 06/01/2000
    Hottest this year 33.3° 16/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.0° 22/01/2020
    Long term average 31.6° Long term average 13.5°
    Average this month 30.5° Average this month 14.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.8° 2006 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 9.8° 2000
    Thowgla Valley rainfall history (36.27°S, 147.928°E, 373m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.4mm 21/01/2020 Total This Month 37.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.6mm 7.2 days Wettest January on record 126.2mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Thowgla Valley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 51.6mm 7.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 37.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 49.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 19.4mm Jan21
    Lowest Temperature 13.0°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 33.3°C Jan16
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Thowgla Valley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.6 30.5 27.2 21.6 16.0 12.3 11.6 13.7 17.2 20.8 25.3 28.3 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.5 10.7 7.1 4.2 2.2 1.8 2.5 4.6 6.4 9.5 11.2 7.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 51.6 66.1 60.0 60.0 65.2 96.3 96.3 107.2 91.4 71.3 88.2 75.3 926.3
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 8.0 8.3 8.8 14.2 19.2 19.9 17.8 14.4 11.4 10.7 9.7 142.9