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Forecast

Thorpdale South (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 21°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:30am EST 6:57am EST 5:40pm EST 6:07pm EST
    NOW
    10.6° Feels Like: 4.8°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 8.7°
    Wind: NW 28km/h
    Gust: NW 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Thorpdale South
    Now
    16.5°c
    Feels Like:
    8.2°
    Wind:
    NW 35km/h
    Gusts:
    43km/h
    Humidity:
    41%
    Showers
     
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Thorpdale South
    Patchy morning fog. Cloud increasing. Very high chance of showers late this afternoon and evening. Snow falling above 700 metres tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening. Gusty winds and possible hail later tonight. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending N/NW in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow level around 400 metres in the morning, increasing to 1100 metres during the day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the morning. Possible small hail in the morning and afternoon. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 5 and 11.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Patchy morning fog. Cloud increasing. Very high chance of showers late this afternoon and evening. Snow falling above 700 metres tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm this evening. Gusty winds and possible hail later tonight. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending N/NW in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 22.

    Forecast for Thorpdale South (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Showers Showers Showers increasing Showers easing Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 21° 10° 13° 13° 12° 15° 16°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 70% 40% 20% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Low Low Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNW W W WNW WNW W W WSW WSW WNW WNW NW NW
    Relative humidity 74% 42% 89% 78% 82% 79% 93% 70% 79% 62% 83% 57% 76% 52%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 3°C 7°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Thorpdale South Rain Forecast


    Thorpdale South 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Thorpdale South Rain Forecast


    Thorpdale South 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    5
    5
    5
    6
    7
    6
    5
    3
    9
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Thorpdale South Rain Forecast


    Thorpdale South 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 August to 30 August, 10 September to 14 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 August to 20 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 11 September to 15 September, and 15 September to 19 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Thorpdale South Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Aug 14
    7.5 °C 13.1 °C
    1.8 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 15
    2.0 °C 16.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 16
    9.6 °C 15.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 17
    6.3 °C 16.0 °C
    5.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    3.7 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Thorpdale South minimum temp history (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 17.2° 16/08/2019 Coldest this month -0.6° 15/08/2019
    Hottest on record 26.8 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -3.4 04/08/1992
    Hottest this year 45.4° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.5° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 14.9° Long term average 4.4°
    Average this month 13.1° Average this month 5.2°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.6° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 2.2° 2002
    Thorpdale South rainfall history (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 31.0mm 11/08/2019 Total This Month 82.0mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 65.4mm 19.8 days Wettest August on record 115.2mm 1995
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Thorpdale South Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 449.7mm 122.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 357.8mm 103.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 275.8mm 96.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.0mm Aug11
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 45.4°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Thorpdale South Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 26.6 24.5 20.5 16.9 14.2 13.6 14.9 17.0 19.6 22.0 24.3 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 12.8 12.9 11.3 8.7 6.5 4.5 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.4 9.5 11.2 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 46.0 48.5 57.7 54.1 63.9 65.3 65.4 74.2 72.3 74.4 66.5 735.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.6 14.3 17.7 20.1 21.1 19.8 17.5 15.4 13.2 12.3 177.6