Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:46 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Thorpdale South (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 16° clearing shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:22am EST 6:50am EST 5:34pm EST 6:01pm EST NOW10.0° Feels Like: 7.2° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 10.1° Wind: NW 15km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 15.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Thorpdale SouthNow10.8°cFeels Like:6.1°Wind:W 24km/hGusts:30km/hHumidity:93%9°Min16°MaxToday in Thorpdale SouthCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.Tomorrow9°Min16°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.
Forecast for Thorpdale South (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 9° 8° 6° 6° 8° 7° Maximum 16° 16° 17° 18° 20° 17° 15° Chance of rain 60% 50% 50% 5% 10% 60% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)24
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)22
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction W WSW W WSW W WSW WSW WSW W WSW W W W SSW Relative humidity 84% 58% 89% 63% 87% 69% 92% 59% 90% 54% 73% 70% 83% 57% Dew point 9°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Thorpdale South Rain Forecast
Thorpdale South 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257565565104786105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Thorpdale South Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1910.2 °C 16.9 °C 6.4 mmSaturday
Apr 203.9 °C 17.6 °C 0.4 mmSunday
Apr 216.8 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 222.5 °C 22.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 232.6 °C 24.8 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Thorpdale South minimum temp history (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.0° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.5° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 37.1° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.5° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.1° Long term average 9.5° Average this month 18.8° Average this month 8.6° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Thorpdale South rainfall history (38.3106°S, 146.1713°E, 328m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 68.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 126.0mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 70.9mm 13.8 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 25.8mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Thorpdale South Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 222.2mm 44.7 day(s) Total For 2024 240.4mm 41.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 208.6mm 45.0 day(s) Wettest Day 68.4mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 2.5°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 37.1°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Thorpdale South Climatology
Thorpdale South Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.0 24.2 20.1 16.3 13.6 13.2 14.0 16.7 19.4 21.4 24.3 19.6 Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.1 12.3 9.5 6.9 4.6 4.8 5.1 6.5 8.3 10.2 12.0 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 56.8 44.0 50.5 70.9 83.6 84.2 82.6 110.0 82.7 103.9 96.3 67.2 932.8 Mean Rain Days 10.8 9.6 10.5 13.8 18.1 18.7 20.3 20.1 17.0 15.8 14.9 12.9 182.3