Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Thorley (36.6593°S, 145.9821°E, 176m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW5° 20° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:36pm EST 6:03pm EST NOW10.9° Feels Like: 7.1° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 5.9° Wind: SW 15km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1023.5hPa -
Today Weather
ThorleyNow9.7°cFeels Like:7.8°Wind:SW 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:79%5°Min20°MaxToday in ThorleyMostly sunny. Patches of morning frost in the N. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20.Tomorrow5°Min20°MaxThe chance of fog in the early morning. Areas of morning frost. Sunny day. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Patches of morning frost in the N. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20.
Forecast for Thorley (36.6593°S, 145.9821°E, 176m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 5° 3° 6° 5° 5° 3° 3° Maximum 20° 21° 24° 21° 20° 20° 20° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Moderate Nil Slight Slight Moderate Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)4
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction S SW E N E NNE E WSW S SSW SSE S S SSW Relative humidity 71% 44% 72% 42% 66% 43% 68% 44% 60% 42% 58% 40% 65% 42% Dew point 7°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 11°C 6°C 9°C 3°C 7°C 3°C 6°C 6°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Thorley Rain Forecast
Thorley 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Thorley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 213.9 °C 23.3 °C -Monday
Apr 223.2 °C 24.2 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 232.3 °C 26.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 248.4 °C 17.5 °C 0.4 mmThursday
Apr 251.9 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Thorley minimum temp history (36.6593°S, 145.9821°E, 176m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.5° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.3° 23/04/2024 Hottest on record 31.7 02/04/2009 Coldest on record 0.1 29/04/2008 Hottest this year 38.0° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.3° 23/04/2024 Long term average 22.5° Long term average 8.3° Average this month 22.9° Average this month 7.3° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.1° 2008 Thorley rainfall history (36.6593°S, 145.9821°E, 176m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 29.2mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 50.2mm 7.5 days Wettest April on record 103.9mm 2014 Driest on record 5.2mm 2021 -
Year to Date
Thorley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 193.9mm 27.2 day(s) Total For 2024 190.8mm 19.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 234.1mm 37.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.0mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature 2.3°C Apr23 Highest Temperature 38.0°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Thorley Climatology
Thorley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.2 30.8 27.6 22.5 17.3 14.0 13.2 14.5 17.9 22.1 26.4 29.2 22.3 Mean Min (°C) 16.0 15.2 12.6 8.3 5.1 3.4 3.1 3.4 4.5 7.1 11.0 13.3 8.6 Mean Rain (mm) 53.3 37.2 53.2 50.2 46.7 59.6 63.3 59.8 41.4 50.9 52.3 48.4 619.5 Mean Rain Days 6.5 5.8 7.4 7.5 11.2 15.8 19.2 15.5 10.2 9.6 8.8 7.1 125.6