Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 04:40 PM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 19 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Thursday 18 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Coast, Central Gippsland Coast and East Gippsland Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
West Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 19 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
East Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:10 am EST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
The Gurdies (38.374°S, 145.5612°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 19° clearing shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:50am EST 5:45pm EST 6:12pm EST NOW14.3° Feels Like: 12.6° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 12.5° Wind: W 13km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1018.0hPa -
Today Weather
The GurdiesNow13.9°cFeels Like:11.5°Wind:NW 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:86%13°Min19°MaxToday in The GurdiesCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h turning S 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.Tomorrow13°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h turning S 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.
Forecast for The Gurdies (38.374°S, 145.5612°E, 11m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 13° 12° 12° 10° 14° 12° 11° Maximum 19° 18° 18° 21° 23° 17° 17° Chance of rain 60% 10% 10% 5% 80% 80% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)18
(km/h)2
(km/h)10
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction S S S SW WNW WSW NNE WNW N WNW WSW WSW W WSW Relative humidity 73% 62% 76% 64% 79% 65% 86% 57% 65% 62% 68% 58% 75% 65% Dew point 11°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 14°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
The Gurdies Rain Forecast
The Gurdies 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
The Gurdies Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1413.6 °C 18.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1512.5 °C 20.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1613.3 °C 18.6 °C 1.0 mmWednesday
Apr 1712.4 °C 18.4 °C 1.0 mmThursday
Apr 1812.1 °C 16.8 °C 2.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
The Gurdies minimum temp history (38.374°S, 145.5612°E, 11m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.1° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 11.2° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 31.1 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 0.3 30/04/1994 Hottest this year 34.2° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 11.1° 22/03/2024 Long term average 19.5° Long term average 12.7° Average this month 19.3° Average this month 13.4° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.1° 1995 The Gurdies rainfall history (38.374°S, 145.5612°E, 11m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 57.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 80.2mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 59.2mm 14.3 days Wettest April on record 130.4mm 2001 Driest on record 17.8mm 2013 -
Year to Date
The Gurdies Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 173.8mm 41.5 day(s) Total For 2024 152.6mm 36.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 141.2mm 47.0 day(s) Wettest Day 57.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 11.1°C Mar22 Highest Temperature 34.2°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
The Gurdies Climatology
The Gurdies Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.1 24.3 22.6 19.5 16.3 14.0 13.4 14.3 16.1 18.1 20.1 22.0 18.7 Mean Min (°C) 15.7 15.9 14.7 12.7 10.7 8.9 8.2 8.4 9.4 10.7 12.3 13.8 11.7 Mean Rain (mm) 38.1 37.9 38.6 59.2 73.9 70.3 68.5 79.1 66.0 65.3 57.0 46.4 698.9 Mean Rain Days 8.6 7.8 10.8 14.3 17.8 17.7 19.2 19.3 16.6 16.1 12.3 11.2 171.5