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Forecast

Tanybryn (38.655°S, 143.7097°E, 495m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:39am EST 7:07am EST 5:53pm EST 6:20pm EST
    NOW
    11.5° Feels Like: 1.0°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 6.8°
    Wind: W 50km/h
    Gust: W 50km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.4mm
    Pressure: 1019.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tanybryn
    Now
    8.2°c
    Feels Like:
    4.2°
    Wind:
    W 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Windy with showers
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in Tanybryn
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
    Tomorrow
    Showers easing
    Min
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.

    Forecast for Tanybryn (38.655°S, 143.7097°E, 495m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Windy with showers Showers easing Clearing shower Cloudy Possible shower Showers easing Showers
    Minimum
    Maximum 10° 10°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 20% 40% 60% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Moderate Nil Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W WSW WSW SW SW NNW NW NNW W W WSW WNW W
    Relative humidity 92% 89% 89% 84% 73% 65% 86% 68% 77% 75% 84% 72% 87% 73%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 3°C 3°C 3°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 4°C 3°C 6°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tanybryn Rain Forecast


    Tanybryn 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 August to 1 September, 1 September to 5 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 August to 21 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 August to 30 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 18 September to 22 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tanybryn Rain Forecast


    Tanybryn 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    7
    6
    5
    4
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    4
    8
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tanybryn Rain Forecast


    Tanybryn 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 August to 1 September, 1 September to 5 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 August to 21 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 August to 30 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 18 September to 22 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tanybryn Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 15
    8.6 °C 16.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 16
    11.5 °C 13.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 17
    7.3 °C 14.3 °C
    2.2 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    7.3 °C 13.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 19
    6.0 °C 11 °C
    18.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tanybryn minimum temp history (38.655°S, 143.7097°E, 495m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.4° 15/08/2019 Coldest this month 4.8° 10/08/2019
    Hottest on record 25.0 20/08/1995 Coldest on record 1.1 11/08/1866
    Hottest this year 38.5° 01/03/2019 Coldest this year 4.8° 10/08/2019
    Long term average 13.8° Long term average 7.8°
    Average this month 12.8° Average this month 8.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 1867 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 3.5° 1866
    Tanybryn rainfall history (38.655°S, 143.7097°E, 495m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 18.0mm 19/08/2019 Total This Month 70.4mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 103.7mm 20.6 days Wettest August on record 218.2mm 1867
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Tanybryn Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 606.7mm 125.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 626.6mm 119.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 704.0mm 113.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 35.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature 4.8°C Aug10
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Mar 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Tanybryn Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.3 21.5 20.3 17.9 15.6 13.6 13.0 13.8 15.2 16.9 18.2 19.8 17.2
    Mean Min (°C) 13.3 14.0 13.2 11.7 10.1 8.5 7.5 7.8 8.5 9.5 10.7 12.0 10.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.2 40.5 56.5 71.3 89.7 96.4 104.4 103.7 88.0 79.3 63.1 53.1 889.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.8 9.0 12.5 15.3 18.4 19.0 20.4 20.6 18.7 16.8 14.0 12.4 184.9