Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 11:01 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, North East and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Tanjil Bren (37.8369°S, 146.2027°E, 534m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 14° Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW0.4° Feels Like: -6.6° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 0.4° Wind: SW 26km/h Gust: 43km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Tanjil BrenNow13.9°cFeels Like:10.2°Wind:SW 13km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:54%9°Min14°MaxToday in Tanjil BrenCloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late morning. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 16.Tomorrow9°Min15°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the late morning. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 16.
Forecast for Tanjil Bren (37.8369°S, 146.2027°E, 534m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 9° 9° 6° 7° 9° 7° Maximum 14° 15° 15° 17° 19° 15° 15° Chance of rain 80% 90% 60% 5% 10% 80% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)14
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)2
(km/h)5
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW W WSW WSW WSW N WSW N NW NW WSW SW SSW Relative humidity 89% 70% 93% 84% 93% 76% 86% 60% 75% 52% 70% 78% 82% 76% Dew point 9°C 8°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tanjil Bren Rain Forecast
Tanjil Bren 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257565565104786105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tanjil Bren Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 200.8 °C 12.4 °C 3.0 mmSunday
Apr 216.8 °C 12.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 228.4 °C 14.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 238.6 °C 12.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 240.1 °C 1.1 °C 25.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tanjil Bren minimum temp history (37.8369°S, 146.2027°E, 534m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.8° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month -0.8° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 20.0 14/04/2004 Coldest on record -5.7 29/04/2009 Hottest this year 25.2° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.1° 21/03/2024 Long term average 10.1° Long term average 4.0° Average this month 9.6° Average this month 4.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 1.1° 2006 Tanjil Bren rainfall history (37.8369°S, 146.2027°E, 534m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 48.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 184.4mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 147.9mm 15.5 days Wettest April on record 272.0mm 2006 Driest on record 18.4mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Tanjil Bren Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 457.9mm 54.9 day(s) Total For 2024 386.0mm 39.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 515.4mm 64.0 day(s) Wettest Day 74.2mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature -1.1°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 25.2°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tanjil Bren Climatology
Tanjil Bren Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 17.5 16.6 13.9 10.1 6.0 3.4 2.2 3.0 5.9 8.9 12.2 14.5 9.4 Mean Min (°C) 8.8 8.2 6.4 4.0 1.3 -0.6 -1.6 -1.4 -0.1 1.7 4.1 6.0 3.0 Mean Rain (mm) 100.4 96.2 113.4 147.9 138.6 186.1 169.8 201.2 184.3 161.3 165.6 143.9 1789.0 Mean Rain Days 13.1 11.9 14.4 15.5 17.0 17.6 20.4 22.1 18.4 17.8 16.6 15.4 195.8