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Forecast

Tallygaroopna (36.2389°S, 145.4361°E, 111m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 13° 29°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:58am EDT 6:27am EDT 8:34pm EDT 9:03pm EDT
    NOW
    11.8° Feels Like: 12.0°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 10.5°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tallygaroopna
    Now
    11.2°c
    Feels Like:
    11.4°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    95%
    Sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Tallygaroopna
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    15°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Sunny. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tallygaroopna

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the high 20s.

    Forecast for Tallygaroopna (36.2389°S, 145.4361°E, 111m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 13° 15° 15° 15° 15° 17° 23°
    Maximum 29° 33° 34° 32° 33° 38° 43°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW W SW WSW SSW W SW SW SSW SW E NE ENE N
    Relative humidity 66% 34% 67% 32% 69% 25% 59% 25% 58% 22% 61% 21% 42% 18%
    Dew point 12°C 11°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 12°C 8°C 16°C 12°C 16°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tallygaroopna Rain Forecast


    Tallygaroopna 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tallygaroopna Rain Forecast


    Tallygaroopna 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    8
    4
    1
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tallygaroopna Rain Forecast


    Tallygaroopna 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tallygaroopna Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.4 °C 24.1 °C
    23.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    14.1 °C 27.4 °C
    11.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    16.4 °C 35.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    15.5 °C 23.9 °C
    12.2 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    9.6 °C 24 °C
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tallygaroopna minimum temp history (36.2389°S, 145.4361°E, 111m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 10.0° 24/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.3 31/01/2009 Coldest on record 5.6 09/01/2004
    Hottest this year 40.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.0° 24/01/2020
    Long term average 31.8° Long term average 15.2°
    Average this month 31.6° Average this month 15.5°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 1999 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.8° 2004
    Tallygaroopna rainfall history (36.2389°S, 145.4361°E, 111m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 23.2mm 20/01/2020 Total This Month 54.0mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 28.3mm 4.6 days Wettest January on record 100.8mm 1999
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Tallygaroopna Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 28.3mm 4.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 54.0mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1.2mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.2mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 10.0°C Jan24
    Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tallygaroopna Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.0 27.5 22.5 17.6 14.2 13.3 15.0 18.2 22.0 26.2 29.0 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 12.4 8.5 5.6 3.9 3.4 3.7 5.5 7.3 10.7 12.8 8.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 28.3 40.2 33.4 35.3 33.7 41.9 43.3 46.8 40.2 32.2 51.1 33.8 460.4
    Mean Rain Days 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.4 9.8 11.9 14.8 12.7 10.1 8.3 6.7 5.8 95.4