Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:46 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Sassafras Gully (37.862°S, 145.3543°E, 474m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 11° showers easing Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EST 6:54am EST 5:39pm EST 6:06pm EST NOW12.8° Feels Like: 12.5° Relative Humidity: 91% Dew: 11.3° Wind: W 4km/h Gust: 4km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Sassafras GullyNow15.7°cFeels Like:13.3°Wind:W 17km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:82%8°Min11°MaxToday in Sassafras GullyPartly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h.Tomorrow8°Min11°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, high chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h tending SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h.
Forecast for Sassafras Gully (37.862°S, 145.3543°E, 474m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 7° 7° 5° 6° 8° 7° Maximum 11° 11° 11° 14° 15° 12° 11° Chance of rain 80% 80% 50% 5% 20% 40% 40% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)4
(km/h)4
(km/h)2
(km/h)1
(km/h)4
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW W SW WSW SW NNE W NNE NW NNW SSW SSE S Relative humidity 87% 73% 98% 81% 95% 84% 96% 74% 85% 60% 76% 81% 90% 75% Dew point 8°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Sassafras Gully Rain Forecast
Sassafras Gully 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259465465106775105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Sassafras Gully Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 198.8 °C 14.0 °C 18.6 mmSaturday
Apr 208.4 °C - 0.4 mmSunday
Apr 21- - 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 22- 20.0 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Apr 2314.3 °C 20.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Sassafras Gully minimum temp history (37.862°S, 145.3543°E, 474m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.1° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.5° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 33.6° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 6.5° 09/04/2024 Long term average 16.9° Long term average 10.0° Average this month 15.8° Average this month 9.5° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Sassafras Gully rainfall history (37.862°S, 145.3543°E, 474m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 83.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 213.4mm
15.0 daysLong Term Average 119.7mm 15.1 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 39.4mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Sassafras Gully Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 357.1mm 51.6 day(s) Total For 2024 459.8mm 50.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 412.2mm 66.0 day(s) Wettest Day 83.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 6.5°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 33.6°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Sassafras Gully Climatology
Sassafras Gully Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.6 21.3 16.9 12.8 10.4 9.8 10.9 14.0 16.7 19.0 21.8 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 10.0 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.3 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.2 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 92.3 62.3 82.8 119.7 129.4 131.1 110.5 125.7 96.6 137.6 124.6 99.8 1298.4 Mean Rain Days 12.7 10.0 13.8 15.1 19.2 20.1 20.5 21.2 17.0 18.2 16.2 14.4 196.2