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Forecast

Rythdale (38.1504°S, 145.4595°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 11° 19°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:18am EDT 5:49am EDT 8:36pm EDT 9:07pm EDT
    NOW
    15.0° Feels Like: 10.5°
    Relative Humidity: 61%
    Dew: 7.5°
    Wind: WSW 20km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Rythdale
    Now
    15.0°c
    Feels Like:
    10.3°
    Wind:
    WSW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    58%
    Clearing shower
     
    11°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Rythdale
    Cloudy. Medium chance of light showers or drizzle. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    10°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the southeast, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Rythdale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of light showers or drizzle. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 18 and 21.

    Forecast for Rythdale (38.1504°S, 145.4595°E, 7m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Cloudy Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 10° 12° 11° 11° 11° 13°
    Maximum 19° 20° 22° 23° 26° 30° 28°
    Chance of rain 30% 50% 20% 10% 5% 10% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW SW W WSW W WSW WNW W WSW SSW NE SSW S SSW
    Relative humidity 77% 57% 70% 59% 81% 58% 74% 44% 62% 44% 62% 33% 54% 36%
    Dew point 11°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rythdale Rain Forecast


    Rythdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 December to 29 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 December to 14 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 December to 30 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rythdale Rain Forecast


    Rythdale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    3
    5
    6
    6
    5
    4
    7
    4
    3
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rythdale Rain Forecast


    Rythdale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 December to 29 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 December to 14 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 December to 30 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rythdale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Nov 18
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    - -
    -
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    - -
    -
    Thursday
    Nov 21
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Nov 22
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rythdale minimum temp history (38.1504°S, 145.4595°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 41.8 19/12/2015 Coldest on record 4.1 05/12/2011
    Hottest this year 42.9° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 23.5° Long term average 11.7°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.3° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.6° 1995
    Rythdale rainfall history (38.1504°S, 145.4595°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    days
    Long Term Average 67.5mm 11.2 days Wettest December on record 146.8mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Rythdale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 831.2mm 177.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 569.0mm 129.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 637.2mm 145.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 26.0mm Jun13
    Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Rythdale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.4 25.7 23.5 19.9 16.4 13.9 13.4 14.5 16.5 19.0 21.1 23.5 19.4
    Mean Min (°C) 13.6 14.0 12.5 10.3 8.5 6.7 6.1 6.5 7.8 8.8 10.4 11.7 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 52.5 53.4 44.3 71.0 67.6 80.8 72.9 81.9 86.8 77.9 74.6 67.5 829.5
    Mean Rain Days 10.1 8.4 11.0 14.1 18.4 19.3 19.4 19.2 17.6 15.4 13.0 11.2 172.5