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Forecast

Ross Creek (37.6285°S, 143.7673°E, 401m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 15°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:51am EST 6:17am EST 6:20pm EST 6:46pm EST
    NOW
    10.0° Feels Like:  
    Relative Humidity:  
    Dew: 10.3°
    Wind: W 9km/h
    Gust: W 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ross Creek
    Now
    11.4°c
    Feels Like:
    8.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Showers
     
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Ross Creek
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1200 metres later. Possible hail near the Otways later tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h turning W in the early afternoon then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow possible above 1000 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1200 metres later. Possible hail near the Otways later tonight. The chance of a thunderstorm this morning. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h turning W in the early afternoon then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 21.

    Forecast for Ross Creek (37.6285°S, 143.7673°E, 401m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Showers Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 15° 11° 12° 12° 13° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 80% 60% 40% 40% 40% 10% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Moderate Slight Moderate Slight Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW W NNW NW W WSW W WSW WSW WSW N NNW N NW
    Relative humidity 85% 89% 85% 69% 94% 69% 88% 72% 94% 75% 86% 63% 75% 64%
    Dew point 13°C 10°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ross Creek Rain Forecast


    Ross Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 September to 2 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September, 3 October to 7 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ross Creek Rain Forecast


    Ross Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2019
    2020
    6
    4
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    3
    8
    5
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 10

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued the cooling trend over the central Pacific during August, with areas in the eastern equatorial Pacific exhibiting below average temperatures for the first time in about two years. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.2 and 0.1 through the month of August. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -4.4 during the past month, which remains in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, three out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these are likely to reach El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until the beginning of the summer. The climate outlook for spring favours below average rainfall across the southern half, and in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. On the other hand, far southern Victoria and western Tasmania could see above average rainfall during this period as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Antarctica looks to enhance the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) over the coming months.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ross Creek Rain Forecast


    Ross Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 September to 2 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September, 3 October to 7 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ross Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Sep 16
    5.8 °C 10.3 °C
    15.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 17
    0.5 °C 11.1 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 18
    -0.7 °C 15.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 19
    5.0 °C 19.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 20
    12.6 °C 22 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ross Creek minimum temp history (37.6285°S, 143.7673°E, 401m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.0° 19/09/2019 Coldest this month -0.7° 18/09/2019
    Hottest on record 27.9 30/09/1961 Coldest on record -4.6 01/09/2015
    Hottest this year 41.0° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.5° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 13.8° Long term average 4.6°
    Average this month 14.0° Average this month 4.6°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.1° 2006 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 2.8° 1994
    Ross Creek rainfall history (37.6285°S, 143.7673°E, 401m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.4mm 16/09/2019 Total This Month 36.6mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 72.1mm 16.8 days Wettest September on record 178.2mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ross Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 516.0mm 127.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 444.4mm 124.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 377.8mm 119.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 43.8mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ross Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.5 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.2 11.6 13.8 16.8 19.8 22.8 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.2 11.6 10.1 7.4 5.6 3.9 3.0 3.5 4.6 6.1 7.9 9.5 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.5 44.1 41.9 51.3 63.8 62.7 66.6 74.0 72.1 66.5 55.5 49.9 687.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 7.2 9.4 12.5 16.4 18.2 20.1 19.6 16.8 15.4 12.7 10.9 165.6