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Forecast

Riggs Creek (36.5996°S, 145.6287°E, 136m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Increasing sunshine 13°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:56am EST 7:25am EST 5:10pm EST 5:38pm EST
    NOW
    6.5° Feels Like: 4.5°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 6.5°
    Wind: WSW 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1024.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Riggs Creek
    Now
    6.3°c
    Feels Like:
    5.5°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Riggs Creek
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Sunny. Areas of morning fog and frost, mainly in the east. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching around 14.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Riggs Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.

    Forecast for Riggs Creek (36.5996°S, 145.6287°E, 136m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Increasing sunshine Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 14° 14° 15° 14° 14° 15°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 30% 40% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Moderate High High Moderate Moderate Moderate Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SSW S S ENE NE ENE NE SE S E ENE ENE ENE
    Relative humidity 84% 59% 90% 62% 92% 70% 95% 72% 99% 73% 94% 69% 93% 73%
    Dew point 4°C 5°C 3°C 6°C 4°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Riggs Creek Rain Forecast


    Riggs Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 June to 16 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 10 July to 14 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 June to 22 June, and 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 10 July to 14 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Riggs Creek Rain Forecast


    Riggs Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    8
    7
    8
    8
    6
    8
    9
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Riggs Creek Rain Forecast


    Riggs Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    Jul 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 June to 16 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 10 July to 14 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 June to 22 June, and 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 June to 16 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 10 July to 14 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Riggs Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jun 02
    4.7 °C 12.2 °C
    7.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 03
    7.4 °C 14.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 04
    1.8 °C 14.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 05
    -0.5 °C 13.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jun 06
    0.0 °C 8.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Riggs Creek minimum temp history (36.5996°S, 145.6287°E, 136m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 14.2° 03/06/2020 Coldest this month -0.5° 05/06/2020
    Hottest on record 21.5 07/06/2005 Coldest on record -5.9 15/06/2006
    Hottest this year 45.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.5° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 14.2° Long term average 3.9°
    Average this month 11.7° Average this month 3.6°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.0° 2005 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 0.1° 2006
    Riggs Creek rainfall history (36.5996°S, 145.6287°E, 136m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.8mm 01/06/2020 Total This Month 16.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.9mm 11.9 days Wettest June on record 80.0mm 2016
    Driest on record 15.8mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Riggs Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 212.8mm 41.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 307.8mm 45.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 88.6mm 36.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 48.6mm Apr30
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 45.9°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Riggs Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.0 27.5 22.5 17.6 14.2 13.3 15.0 18.2 22.0 26.2 29.0 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 15.2 15.1 12.4 8.5 5.6 3.9 3.4 3.7 5.5 7.3 10.7 12.8 8.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 28.3 40.2 33.4 35.3 33.7 41.9 43.3 46.8 40.2 32.2 51.1 33.8 460.4
    Mean Rain Days 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.4 9.8 11.9 14.8 12.7 10.1 8.3 6.7 5.8 95.4