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Forecast

Reedy Dam (35.9691°S, 142.6413°E, 99m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am EST 6:12am EST 6:31pm EST 6:57pm EST
    NOW
    14.6° Feels Like: 12.2°
    Relative Humidity: 56%
    Dew: 5.9°
    Wind: S 7km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1026.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Reedy Dam
    Now
    13.9°c
    Feels Like:
    9.8°
    Wind:
    S 15km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    54%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Reedy Dam
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog and light frost early this morning. Slight chance of a shower during the early afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures around 17.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog and light frost in the south in the early morning. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Reedy Dam

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog and light frost early this morning. Slight chance of a shower during the early afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures around 17.

    Forecast for Reedy Dam (35.9691°S, 142.6413°E, 99m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Late shower Clearing shower Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 12°
    Maximum 17° 19° 22° 21° 22° 30° 26°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 80% 40% 5% 40% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Moderate High Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SSW ENE NE NE NNE NW WNW WNW WNW N NNW WNW W
    Relative humidity 94% 47% 70% 37% 66% 42% 91% 46% 80% 37% 63% 26% 59% 38%
    Dew point 9°C 5°C 5°C 3°C 7°C 7°C 12°C 8°C 10°C 6°C 11°C 8°C 11°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Reedy Dam Rain Forecast


    Reedy Dam 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 October to 14 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 28 October to 1 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 October to 21 October, 25 October to 29 October, and 30 October to 3 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 October to 13 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 23 October to 27 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Reedy Dam Rain Forecast


    Reedy Dam 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    3
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    9
    5
    5
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Reedy Dam Rain Forecast


    Reedy Dam 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 October to 14 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 28 October to 1 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 October to 21 October, 25 October to 29 October, and 30 October to 3 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 October to 13 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 23 October to 27 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Reedy Dam Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    5.1 °C 16.5 °C
    2.4 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    1.9 °C 15.8 °C
    1.4 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    4.3 °C 13.1 °C
    10.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    2.5 °C 15.9 °C
    1.6 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 27
    0.8 °C 15.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Reedy Dam minimum temp history (35.9691°S, 142.6413°E, 99m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.7° 12/09/2020 Coldest this month -2.1° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 34.6 12/09/2009 Coldest on record -3.6 01/09/2005
    Hottest this year 45.2° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -5.3° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 20.2° Long term average 5.0°
    Average this month 20.5° Average this month 6.1°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.7° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 2008
    Reedy Dam rainfall history (35.9691°S, 142.6413°E, 99m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.0mm 25/09/2020 Total This Month 28.4mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 29.8mm 9.8 days Wettest September on record 119.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 6.2mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Reedy Dam Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 223.1mm 80.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 305.4mm 83.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 164.6mm 74.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 58.0mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature -5.3°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Reedy Dam Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.0 28.9 23.8 18.9 15.3 14.7 16.9 20.2 24.8 28.3 30.6 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 14.8 12.7 9.0 6.1 4.2 3.3 3.5 5.0 7.4 11.0 13.0 8.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 35.3 17.5 14.8 22.6 27.5 24.9 27.0 23.7 29.8 23.8 28.2 26.3 301.3
    Mean Rain Days 5.3 4.2 4.7 6.1 9.6 12.3 16.1 12.7 9.8 6.8 7.1 5.8 93.3